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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +22 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d |  MurkSniper | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $1,098 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | 0xa3ae…aca3 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $2,907 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | Under1345 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $6,099 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 16d | cosmin1992 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta99¢ → 100¢ | $2,112 | −$21 −1.0% | — |
| 16d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta48¢ → 100¢ | $17,504 | +$18,910 +108% | 6 |
| 16d | DomDomBom | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta91¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$277 +9.9% | 5 |
| 16d |  Gamer-Girl | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta88¢ → 100¢ | $2,566 | −$335 −13% | — |
| 16d | Gamer-Girl | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta66¢ → 100¢ | $1,684 | +$867 +52% | 6 |
| 16d |  12xmrbolt | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta57¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$754 +75% | 6 |
| 16d | luminaarx | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta88¢ → 100¢ | $5,067 | +$677 +13% | 5 |
| 16d | ferrariChampions20264 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone37¢ → 0¢ | $5,108 | −$5,108 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | cosmin1992 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta61¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$833 +64% | 6 |
| 16d | Substantial-Service | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta46¢ → 100¢ | $1,822 | +$2,169 +119% | 6 |
| 16d | Flaznorp6 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta41¢ → 100¢ | $12,776 | +$18,371 +144% | 6 |
| 16d | Calm-Ikebana | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone56¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | omnibus-076daa | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone56¢ → 0¢ | $1,621 | −$1,621 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | dmoralez | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellMariano Navone58¢ → 0¢ | $1,090 | +$1,090 +100% | — |
| 16d | dmoralez6 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta50¢ → 100¢ | $9,540 | +$9,544 +100% | 6 |
| 16d | dmoralez | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone51¢ → 0¢ | $2,625 | −$2,625 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | 01258787xy48487484545122 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone57¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Limousin3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta47¢ → 100¢ | $5,846 | +$6,599 +113% | 6 |
| 16d | 0x351f…b0d83 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone56¢ → 0¢ | $4,404 | −$4,404 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | kdvlklkvlsklkfs15 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone54¢ → 0¢ | $189,390 | −$189K −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Partial-Thinker | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone58¢ → 0¢ | $3,212 | −$3,212 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta46¢ → 100¢ | $64,063 | +$76,579 +120% | 6 |
| 16d | 0x39de…7a1d | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone54¢ → 0¢ | $1,467 | −$1,467 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | LightParadox2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta49¢ → 100¢ | $4,681 | +$4,795 +102% | 6 |
| 16d | arman1969 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone52¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | omnibus-076daa4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta50¢ → 100¢ | $12,463 | +$12,526 +101% | 6 |
| 16d | mkhlusta | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta47¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | +$2,247 +113% | 6 |
| 16d |  tradecraft | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta47¢ → 100¢ | $4,230 | +$4,770 +113% | 6 |
| 16d | flatbarrel | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta47¢ → 100¢ | $4,230 | +$4,770 +113% | 6 |
| 16d | Venusian | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta47¢ → 100¢ | $4,933 | +$5,562 +113% | 6 |
| 16d |  TRCM | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta47¢ → 100¢ | $4,230 | +$4,770 +113% | 6 |
| 16d | SchruteBucks | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta47¢ → 100¢ | $1,410 | +$1,590 +113% | 6 |
| 16d | 12xmrbolt | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone56¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | 0x760f…326a | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone49¢ → 0¢ | $15,000 | −$15,000 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | xabidaking | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone46¢ → 0¢ | $6,059 | −$6,059 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | dmoralez | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta56¢ → 100¢ | $2,783 | −$2,187 −79% | — |
| 16d | Flaznorp3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone49¢ → 0¢ | $4,575 | −$4,575 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta38¢ → 100¢ | $7,292 | +$11,876 +163% | 6 |
| 16d | Luzzzer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta32¢ → 100¢ | $9,330 | −$19,794 −212% | — |
| 16d | Eztennis | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone60¢ → 0¢ | $1,259 | −$1,259 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Scotty81532 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta56¢ → 100¢ | $13,155 | +$10,336 +79% | 6 |
| 16d |  frugs | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta54¢ → 100¢ | $1,515 | −$1,290 −85% | — |
| 16d |  E4sy777 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone73¢ → 0¢ | $1,666 | −$1,666 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Luzzzer | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta32¢ → 100¢ | $9,320 | +$19,805 +213% | 6 |
| 16d | Lermo16032022 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone71¢ → 0¢ | $1,243 | −$1,243 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Kkak97 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone77¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Takeshirosoku | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone75¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | rytore | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone72¢ → 0¢ | $5,681 | −$5,681 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Scotty8153 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone76¢ → 0¢ | $14,064 | −$14,064 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Illiasca2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellMariano Navone76¢ → 0¢ | $19,894 | +$19,894 +100% | — |
| 16d | Venusian | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone77¢ → 0¢ | $3,004 | −$3,004 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | Luzzzer2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellMariano Navone73¢ → 0¢ | $26,073 | +$26,073 +100% | — |
| 16d | HomeRunHazard | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone75¢ → 0¢ | $4,708 | −$4,708 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | 0xFfC8b6250034A9d180D43d6d30E57d304EB2e7f | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta47¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,128 +113% | 6 |
| 16d |  one8tyfive2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellMariano Navone45¢ → 0¢ | $4,294 | +$4,294 +100% | — |
| 16d | madkkee | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta55¢ → 100¢ | $3,666 | +$3,000 +82% | 6 |
| 16d | Illiasca3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyMariano Navone38¢ → 0¢ | $10,000 | −$10,000 −100% | 6 |
Gamer-Girl4,318 shares
Zelenskys-suit2,311 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Pablo Carreno Busta in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Mariano Navone. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mariano Navone vs Pablo Carreno Busta means the market gives it about 0%.