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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19d | elkk12 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | SellIlia Simakin99¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | −$12 −1.2% | — |
| 19d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin94¢ → 100¢ | $8,779 | +$554 +6.3% | 4 |
| 19d | HomeRunHazard5 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin79¢ → 100¢ | $13,817 | +$3,567 +26% | 5 |
| 19d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | SellIlia Simakin95¢ → 100¢ | $4,245 | −$223 −5.3% | — |
| 19d | rigorousmon | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin75¢ → 100¢ | $1,156 | +$385 +33% | 6 |
| 19d | tenet-bot | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | SellIlia Simakin64¢ → 100¢ | $1,856 | −$1,044 −56% | — |
| 19d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyLuka Pavlovic59¢ → 0¢ | $4,242 | −$4,242 −100% | 6 |
| 19d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin47¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$2,368 +113% | 6 |
| 19d | tenet-bot | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyIlia Simakin35¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | +$1,885 +186% | 6 |
| 19d | DCAETH | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin | BuyLuka Pavlovic34¢ → 0¢ | $1,246 | −$1,246 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Ilia Simakin in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Ilia Simakin. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Luka Pavlovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Luka Pavlovic vs Ilia Simakin means the market gives it about 0%.