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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Game Spread +/-4.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60d | 0000. | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | SellLuka Pavlovic>99¢ | $10,447 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 60d | tennis-loser | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyLuka Pavlovic95¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$291 +5.8% | 4 |
| 60d | ssj32 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyLuka Pavlovic85¢ → 100¢ | $16,000 | +$2,774 +17% | 5 |
| 60d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas73¢ → 0¢ | $3,998 | −$3,998 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | swisstony | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyLuka Pavlovic19¢ → 100¢ | $2,647 | +$11,140 +421% | 6 |
| 60d |  RN1 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas79¢ → 0¢ | $7,410 | −$7,410 −100% | 5 |
| 60d | swisstony4 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas88¢ → 0¢ | $14,611 | −$14,611 −100% | 5 |
| 60d | ssj3 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas93¢ → 0¢ | $15,000 | −$15,000 −100% | 4 |
| 60d | neutralwave23 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | SellLuka Pavlovic29¢ → 100¢ | $1,077 | −$2,687 −250% | — |
| 60d | Negligible-Mutation | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas84¢ → 0¢ | $4,685 | −$4,685 −100% | 5 |
| 60d | bot423 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas74¢ → 0¢ | $6,300 | −$6,300 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | bot422 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | SellJuan Pablo Varillas81¢ → 0¢ | $4,904 | +$4,904 +100% | — |
| 60d | HomeRunHazard | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas87¢ → 0¢ | $2,844 | −$2,844 −100% | 5 |
| 60d | Bigr100 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | SellJuan Pablo Varillas73¢ → 0¢ | $1,281 | +$1,281 +100% | — |
| 60d | spiced2 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas50¢ → 0¢ | $5,904 | −$5,904 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | omnibus-076daa3 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas33¢ → 0¢ | $5,117 | −$5,117 −100% | 6 |
| 60d | Definite-Accident | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyLuka Pavlovic62¢ → 100¢ | $1,891 | +$1,154 +61% | 6 |
| 60d | spiced | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | SellLuka Pavlovic62¢ → 100¢ | $3,123 | −$1,906 −61% | — |
| 60d |  hd777 | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyLuka Pavlovic99¢ → 100¢ | $6,660 | +$95 +1.4% | 4 |
| 60d | HomeRunHazard | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyLuka Pavlovic96¢ → 100¢ | $2,046 | +$85 +4.2% | 4 |
| 60d | spiced | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyLuka Pavlovic87¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | +$215 +15% | 5 |
| 60d | ChallengerSpecialist | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyLuka Pavlovic69¢ → 100¢ | $2,070 | +$930 +45% | 6 |
| 60d | Vigilant-Environment | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyLuka Pavlovic70¢ → 100¢ | $2,077 | +$890 +43% | 6 |
| 61d | 0000.2 fills | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyLuka Pavlovic73¢ → 100¢ | $7,600 | +$2,858 +38% | 4 |
| 61d | marketmesh | US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas29¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Luka Pavlovic and Juan Pablo Varillas in the US Open, Qualification ATP, originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luka Pavlovic' if Luka Pavlovic advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Luka Pavlovic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillas means the market gives it about 100%.