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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $115K | in 7d |
| Completed Match | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set 2 Winner | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 7d |
| Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set 2 O/U 8.5 | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set 2 O/U 9.5 | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set 2 O/U 10.5 | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj Set Handicap +/-1.5 | >99% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30m | Calm-Ikebana2 fills | Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj | SellKarl Poling85¢ → >99¢ | $3,335 | −$566 −17% | — |
| 46m | yesmate | Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj | BuyKarl Poling89¢ → >99¢ | $2,225 | +$274 +12% | 5 |
| 48m | omnibus-076daa5 fills | Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj | BuyKarl Poling81¢ → >99¢ | $14,980 | +$3,542 +24% | 12 |
| 54m | ferrariChampions20263 fills | Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj | BuyKarl Poling68¢ → >99¢ | $9,263 | +$4,314 +47% | 12 |
| 1h | ferrariChampions2026 | Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj | BuyPatrick Zahraj31¢ → <1¢ | $2,729 | −$2,725 −100% | 8 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Karl Poling and Patrick Zahraj in the Sioux Falls, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Karl Poling' if Karl Poling advances against Patrick Zahraj. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Zahraj' if Patrick Zahraj advances against Karl Poling. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: >99¢ for Sioux Falls: Karl Poling vs Patrick Zahraj means the market gives it about >99%.