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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +44 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 76d |  PROBABILITYTRADER | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $2,098 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 76d | phredmoz | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $1,036 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 76d | Dishonest-Refuse | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $1,017 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 76d | Menacing-Helium | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $1,350 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 76d | jyben13 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $1,054 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 76d | blinki9 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima76¢ → 100¢ | $20,898 | −$6,584 −32% | — |
| 76d | wtylyjwyz | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $1,440 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 76d | mojeimeje | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima>99¢ | $1,221 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 76d | swisstony | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima95¢ → 100¢ | $2,023 | +$106 +5.3% | 4 |
| 76d | blinki6 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima69¢ → 100¢ | $11,153 | +$5,020 +45% | 6 |
| 76d | wtylyjwyz | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima93¢ → 100¢ | $1,340 | +$101 +7.5% | 4 |
| 76d | tennis-loser | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima94¢ → 100¢ | $6,800 | +$434 +6.4% | 4 |
| 76d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech21¢ → 0¢ | $6,499 | −$6,499 −100% | 6 |
| 76d |  TRCM3 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima71¢ → 100¢ | $17,098 | +$6,967 +41% | 6 |
| 76d |  tradecraft | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima63¢ → 100¢ | $5,681 | +$3,319 +58% | 6 |
| 76d | blinki3 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellArthur Rinderknech47¢ → 0¢ | $4,299 | +$4,299 +100% | — |
| 76d | thestingsnake | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellArthur Rinderknech46¢ → 0¢ | $1,147 | +$1,147 +100% | — |
| 76d | tennistrader20 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellArthur Rinderknech47¢ → 0¢ | $2,103 | +$2,103 +100% | — |
| 76d | olegio | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech47¢ → 0¢ | $2,897 | −$2,897 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | Netrol | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech47¢ → 0¢ | $3,535 | −$3,535 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | Sick-Backyard | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellArthur Rinderknech46¢ → 0¢ | $1,595 | +$1,595 +100% | — |
| 76d | 787-HUYEW-W-ZOPE2 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech47¢ → 0¢ | $9,144 | −$9,144 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | Aaam-676 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellArthur Rinderknech46¢ → 0¢ | $2,161 | +$2,161 +100% | — |
| 76d | Betzar | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima54¢ → 100¢ | $3,890 | +$3,314 +85% | 6 |
| 76d | mamee2 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech45¢ → 0¢ | $4,056 | −$4,056 −100% | 6 |
| 76d |  FTX2.0 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellArthur Rinderknech45¢ → 0¢ | $1,950 | +$1,950 +100% | — |
| 76d | HomeRunHazard | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima55¢ → 100¢ | $1,042 | +$853 +82% | 6 |
| 76d | FTX2.0 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech65¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | luminaarx | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech65¢ → 0¢ | $11,103 | −$11,103 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | tennis-loser | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech64¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 76d |  RN1 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima37¢ → 100¢ | $3,700 | +$6,300 +170% | 6 |
| 76d |  DoShanna4568182 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech46¢ → 0¢ | $3,800 | −$3,800 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | hurrican | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima54¢ → 100¢ | $14,550 | +$12,387 +85% | 6 |
| 76d | DoShanna456818 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellArthur Rinderknech43¢ → 0¢ | $1,911 | +$1,911 +100% | — |
| 76d | swisstony2 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech53¢ → 0¢ | $4,631 | −$4,631 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | Rash-Copying | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima54¢ → 100¢ | $8,900 | +$7,584 +85% | 6 |
| 76d | Rash-Copying2 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellArthur Rinderknech49¢ → 0¢ | $30,394 | +$30,394 +100% | — |
| 76d | DIKJE | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellArthur Rinderknech47¢ → 0¢ | $1,491 | +$1,491 +100% | — |
| 76d | Blushing-Creative | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima77¢ → 100¢ | $4,727 | +$1,412 +30% | 6 |
| 76d | cpro | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima77¢ → 100¢ | $1,040 | +$311 +30% | 6 |
| 76d | hamlo4 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima82¢ → 100¢ | $5,380 | +$1,195 +22% | 5 |
| 76d | Rash-Copying2 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech23¢ → 0¢ | $14,500 | −$14,500 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | jerseys | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima79¢ → 100¢ | $4,187 | +$1,113 +27% | 5 |
| 76d | AGUGava2 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima83¢ → 100¢ | $2,489 | +$511 +21% | 5 |
| 76d | mirotvorets2 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima85¢ → 100¢ | $8,550 | +$1,509 +18% | 5 |
| 76d | BaseballBill | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech16¢ → 0¢ | $2,400 | −$2,400 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | GRINGOMATE2 fills | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima86¢ → 100¢ | $17,948 | +$3,039 +17% | 5 |
| 76d | 0b1 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima85¢ → 100¢ | $14,197 | +$2,505 +18% | 5 |
| 76d | RebornAthena | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | SellBrandon Nakashima84¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | −$245 −19% | — |
| 76d | sbimbg | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima85¢ → 100¢ | $11,050 | +$1,950 +18% | 5 |
| 76d | omnibus-076daa | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech38¢ → 0¢ | $3,886 | −$3,886 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | Tobias1909 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima44¢ → 100¢ | $3,520 | +$4,480 +127% | 6 |
| 76d |  nkys | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima67¢ → 100¢ | $1,271 | +$626 +49% | 6 |
| 76d | bigwhale1337 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech33¢ → 0¢ | $1,464 | −$1,464 −100% | 6 |
| 76d |  PlatinumGoofy | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima49¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$2,067 +104% | 6 |
| 76d | tennistrader20 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech44¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | Sick-Backyard | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech36¢ → 0¢ | $1,867 | −$1,867 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | Tantula | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima65¢ → 100¢ | $1,076 | +$573 +53% | 6 |
| 76d | Aaam-676 | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyArthur Rinderknech35¢ → 0¢ | $1,657 | −$1,657 −100% | 6 |
| 76d | ChallengerSpecialist | National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima | BuyBrandon Nakashima65¢ → 100¢ | $2,748 | +$1,480 +54% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Rinderknech and Brandon Nakashima in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 8, 2026 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Brandon Nakashima. This market will resolve to 'Brandon Nakashima' if Brandon Nakashima advances against Arthur Rinderknech. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for National Bank Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Brandon Nakashima means the market gives it about 0%.