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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186d | thisistheone3 | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | SellElmer Moeller>99¢ | $1,411 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 186d | fratii.brothers | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | SellElmer Moeller>99¢ | $1,155 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 186d | BunCaCham | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller99¢ → 100¢ | $1,134 | +$12 +1.1% | 4 |
| 186d | fratii.brothers | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller95¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$58 +5.3% | 4 |
| 186d | thisistheone3 | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller94¢ → 100¢ | $1,325 | +$85 +6.4% | 4 |
| 186d | Reliable-GiggleNew account | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | SellPablo Llamas Ruiz15¢ → 0¢ | $1,047 | +$1,047 +100% | — |
| 186d |  TRCM | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller82¢ → 100¢ | $1,825 | +$401 +22% | 5 |
| 186d |  tradecraft | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller82¢ → 100¢ | $2,953 | +$648 +22% | 5 |
| 186d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller56¢ → 100¢ | $3,347 | +$2,661 +80% | 6 |
| 186d | Reliable-GiggleNew account | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz42¢ → 0¢ | $2,896 | −$2,896 −100% | 15 |
| 186d | Afornson | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | BuyElmer Moeller52¢ → 100¢ | $4,438 | +$4,075 +92% | 6 |
| 186d | bigwhale1337 | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz60¢ → 0¢ | $1,469 | −$1,469 −100% | 6 |
| 186d | Clinician | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz80¢ → 0¢ | $1,976 | −$1,976 −100% | 5 |
| 186d | ferrariChampions2026 | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz77¢ → 0¢ | $1,295 | −$1,295 −100% | 6 |
| 186d | jmm20 | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz71¢ → 0¢ | $2,984 | −$2,984 −100% | 4 |
| 186d | eokho | Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller | BuyPablo Llamas Ruiz73¢ → 0¢ | $2,354 | −$2,354 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Pablo Llamas Ruiz and Elmer Moeller in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Llamas Ruiz' if Pablo Llamas Ruiz advances against Elmer Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Pablo Llamas Ruiz. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Madrid Open, Qualification: Pablo Llamas Ruiz vs Elmer Moeller means the market gives it about 0%.