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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | 100% | +58 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 Winner | 50% | +5 pts | — | 50¢ · 50¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +14 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | −2 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | −5 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +11 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +4 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | −14 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 Winner | 50% | +6 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +37 pts | — | 49¢ · 100¢ (51¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | −38 pts | — | — · 51¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | −12 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | −23 pts | — | — · 51¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +26 pts | — | 49¢ · 100¢ (51¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d | RDXR | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $7,493 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | Zenhack | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $2,670 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | n1ck10s | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $1,192 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | Booz69 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $1,118 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | 0xd6e4…68be | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $1,750 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | xutuu | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $1,066 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | TSFSYD | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $7,402 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | Odosksde | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellCasper Ruud>99¢ | $1,104 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | User7429 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud93¢ → 100¢ | $2,260 | +$170 +7.5% | 4 |
| 10d | omnibus-076daa8 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud81¢ → 100¢ | $37,717 | +$8,702 +23% | 5 |
| 10d | TSFSYD3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud86¢ → 100¢ | $5,977 | +$1,000 +17% | 5 |
| 10d |  12xmrbolt3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud79¢ → 100¢ | $15,000 | +$3,922 +26% | 5 |
| 10d | yesmate2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud78¢ → 100¢ | $5,194 | +$1,428 +27% | 5 |
| 10d |  roro.cypher | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | SellCasper Ruud82¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | −$252 −22% | — |
| 10d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime21¢ → 0¢ | $3,070 | −$3,070 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | 01258787xy484874845451226 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime26¢ → 0¢ | $13,528 | −$13,528 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | Substantial-Service | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime22¢ → 0¢ | $20,160 | −$20,160 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | 18275757822 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud77¢ → 100¢ | $3,516 | +$1,043 +30% | 6 |
| 10d | roro.cypher | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud76¢ → 100¢ | $1,064 | +$336 +32% | 6 |
| 10d | UpTheBlues3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud65¢ → 100¢ | $5,357 | +$2,896 +54% | 6 |
| 10d | 01258787xy484874845451224 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud66¢ → 100¢ | $53,110 | +$26,757 +50% | 6 |
| 10d |  0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud68¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,353 +47% | 6 |
| 10d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud51¢ → 100¢ | $3,489 | +$3,372 +97% | 6 |
| 10d | SchruteBucks | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud63¢ → 100¢ | $2,520 | +$1,480 +59% | 6 |
| 10d |  tradecraft | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud63¢ → 100¢ | $3,228 | +$1,896 +59% | 6 |
| 10d |  Reformedx2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime57¢ → 0¢ | $2,881 | −$2,881 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | Jasonha | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyCasper Ruud68¢ → 50¢ | $1,919 | −$508 −26% | 6 |
| 10d | Zenhack | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud44¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$1,497 +127% | 6 |
| 10d | Horrible-Recording | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud44¢ → 100¢ | $2,200 | +$2,800 +127% | 6 |
| 10d | xabidaking | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime57¢ → 0¢ | $2,827 | −$2,827 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | RDXR | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud44¢ → 100¢ | $3,300 | +$4,200 +127% | 6 |
| 10d | JAMJAMJAM4 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime57¢ → 0¢ | $1,140 | −$1,140 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | omnibus-076daa3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime57¢ → 0¢ | $5,502 | −$5,502 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | 0xe98c…8792 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud44¢ → 100¢ | $1,369 | +$1,742 +127% | 6 |
| 10d | Spotless-Girlfriend | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime57¢ → 0¢ | $1,720 | −$1,720 −100% | 6 |
| 10d |  heyboy800 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime58¢ → 0¢ | $1,580 | −$1,580 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud43¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,988 +133% | 4 |
| 10d | danmanud | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud43¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,651 +133% | 4 |
| 10d | ferrariChampions2026 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyFelix Auger-Aliassime57¢ → 0¢ | $2,291 | −$2,291 −100% | 4 |
| 10d | geraldo777 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud43¢ → 100¢ | $2,770 | +$3,672 +133% | 4 |
| 10d | fastball67 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime | BuyCasper Ruud42¢ → 100¢ | $2,854 | +$3,941 +138% | 4 |
Reformedx5,090 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Casper Ruud and Felix Auger-Aliassime in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Casper Ruud' if Casper Ruud advances against Felix Auger-Aliassime. This market will resolve to 'Felix Auger-Aliassime' if Felix Auger-Aliassime advances against Casper Ruud. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Casper Ruud vs Felix Auger-Aliassime means the market gives it about 100%.