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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Game Spread +/-4.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | littlebay | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki | SellRoman Safiullin>99¢ | $1,099 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | Ss1984 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki | SellRoman Safiullin>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 18d | Ss1984 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyRoman Safiullin92¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$88 +8.7% | 5 |
| 18d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyRoman Safiullin93¢ → 100¢ | $8,804 | +$663 +7.5% | 4 |
| 18d | W.Yang911 | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyRoman Safiullin91¢ → 100¢ | $1,820 | +$180 +9.9% | 5 |
| 18d | UpTheBlues3 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyRoman Safiullin94¢ → 100¢ | $8,253 | +$509 +6.2% | 4 |
| 18d | Illiasca | Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki | BuyRoman Safiullin90¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$214 +11% | 5 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Roman Safiullin and Shintaro Mochizuki in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Shintaro Mochizuki. This market will resolve to 'Shintaro Mochizuki' if Shintaro Mochizuki advances against Roman Safiullin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Shintaro Mochizuki means the market gives it about 100%.