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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | 100% | +71 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d | Ancient-Infarction | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | SellRei Sakamoto>99¢ | $1,488 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | Ancient-Infarction | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyRei Sakamoto94¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$89 +6.4% | 4 |
| 15d | HomeRunHazard4 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyRei Sakamoto82¢ → 100¢ | $6,919 | +$1,527 +22% | 4 |
| 15d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyRei Sakamoto92¢ → 100¢ | $13,385 | +$1,164 +8.7% | 4 |
| 15d | neutralwave23 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev55¢ → 0¢ | $1,537 | −$1,537 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | omnibus-076daa | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev48¢ → 0¢ | $1,213 | −$1,213 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | Exalted-Evocation | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev45¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | Likely-FeedbackNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev50¢ → 0¢ | $1,948 | −$1,948 −100% | 19 |
| 15d | Kkunn | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyRei Sakamoto54¢ → 100¢ | $5,610 | +$4,733 +84% | 4 |
| 15d |  MurkSniper | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev47¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 4 |
| 15d |  luckysussygodcat | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev44¢ → 0¢ | $1,160 | −$1,160 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | Refaelnadal | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev46¢ → 0¢ | $1,063 | −$1,063 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | alaskabaked2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev60¢ → 0¢ | $8,000 | −$8,000 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | praba84 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev65¢ → 0¢ | $1,677 | −$1,677 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | kahe | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyAndrey Rublev72¢ → 0¢ | $7,500 | −$7,500 −100% | 4 |
| 15d | jtwyslljy | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev | BuyRei Sakamoto29¢ → 100¢ | $2,610 | +$6,390 +245% | 4 |
| 15d |  88M | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev Game Spread +/-3.5 | BuyAndrey Rublev47¢ → 0¢ | $1,414 | −$1,414 −100% | 4 |
luckysussygodcat2,636 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Rei Sakamoto and Andrey Rublev in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 9, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Rei Sakamoto' if Rei Sakamoto advances against Andrey Rublev. This market will resolve to 'Andrey Rublev' if Andrey Rublev advances against Rei Sakamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Rei Sakamoto vs Andrey Rublev means the market gives it about 100%.