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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 Winner | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +60 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109d | ferrariChampions20264 fills | Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyAndres Santamarta82¢ → 0¢ | $28,474 | −$28,474 −100% | 4 |
| 109d |  igot50k2 fills | Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyAndres Santamarta70¢ → 0¢ | $2,908 | −$2,908 −100% | 4 |
| 109d | SanGer8787 | Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyAndres Santamarta52¢ → 0¢ | $2,022 | −$2,022 −100% | 4 |
| 109d |  TRCM2 fills | Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyAndres Santamarta42¢ → 0¢ | $2,490 | −$2,490 −100% | 4 |
| 109d | flatbarrel | Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyAndres Santamarta41¢ → 0¢ | $1,226 | −$1,226 −100% | 4 |
| 109d | TRCM | Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyGilles Arnaud Bailly59¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | +$1,230 +69% | 4 |
| 109d |  tradecraft | Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyGilles Arnaud Bailly59¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | +$1,230 +69% | 4 |
| 109d | flatbarrel | Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly | BuyGilles Arnaud Bailly59¢ → 100¢ | $1,770 | +$1,230 +69% | 4 |
igot50k1,653 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Andres Santamarta and Gilles Arnaud Bailly in the Liege, originally scheduled for July 7, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andres Santamarta' if Andres Santamarta advances against Gilles Arnaud Bailly. This market will resolve to 'Gilles Arnaud Bailly' if Gilles Arnaud Bailly advances against Andres Santamarta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Liege: Andres Santamarta vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly means the market gives it about 0%.