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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | UpTheBlues | Maia: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky | BuyMichael Vrbensky92¢ → 100¢ | $5,725 | +$498 +8.7% | 5 |
| 12d | 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Maia: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky | BuyPatrick Schoen74¢ → 0¢ | $1,184 | −$1,184 −100% | 6 |
| 12d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | Maia: Patrick Schoen vs Michael Vrbensky | BuyPatrick Schoen81¢ → 0¢ | $3,153 | −$3,153 −100% | 5 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Patrick Schoen and Michael Vrbensky in the Maia, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 7:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Patrick Schoen' if Patrick Schoen advances against Michael Vrbensky. This market will resolve to 'Michael Vrbensky' if Michael Vrbensky advances against Patrick Schoen. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Completed Match means the market gives it about 100%.