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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | hurrican2 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | SellJuan Manuel La Serna91¢ → 100¢ | $3,997 | −$392 −9.8% | — |
| 7d |  heyboy800 | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | SellJuan Manuel La Serna>99¢ | $2,991 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | robustmst | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | SellJuan Manuel La Serna>99¢ | $11,629 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | Nccn | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | SellJuan Manuel La Serna>99¢ | $1,826 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 7d | AnonymousPerson | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna>99¢ | $1,183 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 7d | bankside | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | SellJuan Manuel La Serna95¢ → 100¢ | $13,257 | −$743 −5.6% | — |
| 7d | Nodik-pr3 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna80¢ → 100¢ | $4,006 | +$1,006 +25% | 5 |
| 7d | UpTheBlues9 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna80¢ → 100¢ | $17,503 | +$4,413 +25% | 5 |
| 7d | PreserveGain | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna76¢ → 100¢ | $2,276 | +$724 +32% | 6 |
| 7d | bankside | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna86¢ → 100¢ | $2,689 | +$426 +16% | 5 |
| 7d | hurrican2 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna72¢ → 100¢ | $3,404 | +$1,328 +39% | 6 |
| 7d | NS134 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna76¢ → 100¢ | $18,676 | +$5,761 +31% | 6 |
| 7d | heyboy800 | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | SellFranco Roncadelli25¢ → 0¢ | $1,393 | +$1,393 +100% | — |
| 7d | heyboy800 | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyFranco Roncadelli36¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyFranco Roncadelli54¢ → 0¢ | $2,754 | −$2,754 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | omnibus-076daa | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyFranco Roncadelli54¢ → 0¢ | $1,271 | −$1,271 −100% | 6 |
| 7d | robustmst | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna47¢ → 100¢ | $5,413 | +$6,228 +115% | 6 |
| 7d | Nodik-pr | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | SellJuan Manuel La Serna78¢ → 100¢ | $1,277 | −$362 −28% | — |
| 7d | Obvious-Misunderstand-Mattock | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | SellJuan Manuel La Serna93¢ → 100¢ | $1,347 | −$104 −7.7% | — |
| 7d | betvalue79 | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | SellJuan Manuel La Serna77¢ → 100¢ | $1,886 | −$563 −30% | — |
| 7d | Generous-Impudence | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyFranco Roncadelli21¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 7d |  TRCM | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna75¢ → 100¢ | $1,429 | +$476 +33% | 6 |
| 7d | HomeRunHazard | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna79¢ → 100¢ | $2,885 | +$767 +27% | 5 |
| 7d | mntsdxs | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | SellJuan Manuel La Serna78¢ → 100¢ | $2,107 | −$599 −28% | — |
| 7d | mntsdxs | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna62¢ → 100¢ | $2,944 | +$1,804 +61% | 6 |
| 7d | betvalue79 | Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli | BuyJuan Manuel La Serna57¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$1,050 +75% | 6 |
buzaiyouyu1,340 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Juan Manuel La Serna and Franco Roncadelli in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 4:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel La Serna' if Juan Manuel La Serna advances against Franco Roncadelli. This market will resolve to 'Franco Roncadelli' if Franco Roncadelli advances against Juan Manuel La Serna. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Santa Cruz 2: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Franco Roncadelli means the market gives it about 100%.