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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | 100% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 Winner | 0% | −58 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | 82¢ · 100¢ (18¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +36 pts | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 Winner | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d | Edenhazardous | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellJuncheng Shang>99¢ | $1,410 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | Hardbotx | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellJuncheng Shang>99¢ | $1,069 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | Shocked-Corridor | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellJuncheng Shang>99¢ | $1,116 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | wingwingwin | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellJuncheng Shang>99¢ | $1,149 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | Antblack | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellJuncheng Shang>99¢ | $9,260 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 22d | _test_i075_i078_1 | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellJuncheng Shang99¢ → 100¢ | $3,937 | −$40 −1.0% | — |
| 22d |  1x2xx2556xx123 | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellJuncheng Shang99¢ → 100¢ | $6,438 | −$65 −1.0% | — |
| 22d | jtwyslljy4 fills | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellJuncheng Shang63¢ → 100¢ | $12,527 | −$7,222 −58% | — |
| 22d | _test_i075_i078_1 | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuyJuncheng Shang97¢ → 100¢ | $3,847 | +$109 +2.8% | 4 |
| 22d | 0xe98c…8792 | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez34¢ → 0¢ | $1,364 | −$1,364 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | 1x2xx2556xx123 | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuyJuncheng Shang65¢ → 100¢ | $3,987 | +$2,127 +53% | 6 |
| 23d | UpTheBlues | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuyJuncheng Shang54¢ → 100¢ | $1,381 | +$1,177 +85% | 6 |
| 23d | xabidaking | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez48¢ → 0¢ | $1,900 | −$1,900 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | netvsee | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuyJuncheng Shang56¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$880 +79% | 6 |
| 23d | UpTheBlues2 fills | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez49¢ → 0¢ | $2,349 | −$2,349 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | thestingsnake | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellJuncheng Shang76¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | −$335 −32% | — |
| 23d | dmoralez | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuyJuncheng Shang85¢ → 100¢ | $2,058 | +$377 +18% | 5 |
| 23d | dmoralez2 fills | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellJuncheng Shang63¢ → 100¢ | $3,211 | −$1,898 −59% | — |
| 23d | Sn8383 | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez61¢ → 0¢ | $3,112 | +$3,112 +100% | — |
| 23d | suntori | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellJuncheng Shang52¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$943 −94% | — |
| 23d | sau18 | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez42¢ → 0¢ | $1,489 | −$1,489 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | Sn8383 | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez57¢ → 0¢ | $2,908 | −$2,908 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | 1x2xx2556xx123 | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez71¢ → 0¢ | $1,251 | −$1,251 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | XPX0086 | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez56¢ → 0¢ | $2,978 | +$2,978 +100% | — |
| 23d | XPX0086 | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez31¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | Antblack | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuyJuncheng Shang57¢ → 100¢ | $5,243 | +$4,027 +77% | 6 |
| 23d | 0x760f…326a3 fills | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuyJuncheng Shang46¢ → 100¢ | $12,044 | +$14,300 +119% | 6 |
| 23d |  12xmrbolt | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez52¢ → 0¢ | $2,886 | +$2,886 +100% | — |
| 23d | 01258787xy484874845451222 fills | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuyJuncheng Shang53¢ → 100¢ | $22,292 | +$20,088 +90% | 6 |
| 23d | 12xmrbolt | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez54¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | xxyx0xx | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez54¢ → 0¢ | $2,500 | −$2,500 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | 01258787xy4848748454512220 fills | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez53¢ → 0¢ | $22,390 | −$22,390 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | jtwyslljy4 fills | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuyJuncheng Shang47¢ → 100¢ | $14,390 | +$16,360 +114% | 6 |
| 23d |  MaoZeDonK | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez54¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | jtwyslljy | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | SellSebastian Baez62¢ → 0¢ | $6,200 | +$6,200 +100% | — |
| 23d | ferrariChampions2026 | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuyJuncheng Shang53¢ → 100¢ | $4,027 | +$3,579 +89% | 6 |
| 23d | neutralwave23 | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez46¢ → 0¢ | $1,634 | −$1,634 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | HomeRunHazard | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez42¢ → 0¢ | $2,785 | −$2,785 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | Kkunn | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez45¢ → 0¢ | $4,800 | −$4,800 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | jtwyslljy | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez42¢ → 0¢ | $4,200 | −$4,200 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuySebastian Baez43¢ → 0¢ | $2,300 | −$2,300 −100% | 6 |
| 23d | askilika | China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez | BuyJuncheng Shang58¢ → 100¢ | $12,327 | +$8,926 +72% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Juncheng Shang and Sebastian Baez in the China Open, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juncheng Shang' if Juncheng Shang advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Juncheng Shang. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for China Open: Juncheng Shang vs Sebastian Baez means the market gives it about 100%.