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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 Winner | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 Winner | 100% | +43 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +59 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −64 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 71d | grozni | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 Winner | SellShapovalov>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | okokxd | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $3,197 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | kibanachi | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $13,736 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $1,737 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | Fair-Lobster | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $2,177 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 71d | Hard-Ironclad | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov99¢ → 100¢ | $2,381 | +$24 +1.0% | 4 |
| 71d | ferrariChampions2026 | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov58¢ → 100¢ | $3,622 | +$2,623 +72% | 6 |
| 71d | swisstony | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov58¢ → 100¢ | $1,177 | +$853 +72% | 6 |
| 71d | AGUGava2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino43¢ → 0¢ | $8,568 | −$8,568 −100% | 6 |
| 71d |  FTX2.0 | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov58¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$797 +72% | 6 |
| 71d | 0x760f…326a2 fills | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino36¢ → 0¢ | $12,837 | −$12,837 −100% | 6 |
| 71d | eokho | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino39¢ → 0¢ | $1,782 | −$1,782 −100% | 6 |
| 71d | okokxd | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov63¢ → 100¢ | $1,701 | +$999 +59% | 6 |
| 71d |  tradecraft | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino39¢ → 0¢ | $2,027 | −$2,027 −100% | 6 |
| 71d | beeemw | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov74¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$703 +35% | 6 |
| 71d | BaseballBill | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov77¢ → 100¢ | $7,700 | +$2,300 +30% | 6 |
| 71d | Fair-Lobster | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov78¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$479 +28% | 5 |
| 71d | quackerandqj | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 Winner | SellShapovalov99¢ → 100¢ | $5,411 | −$34 −0.6% | — |
| 71d | HomeRunHazard | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov74¢ → 100¢ | $3,775 | +$1,326 +35% | 6 |
| 71d |  PlatinumGoofy | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino36¢ → 0¢ | $1,116 | −$1,116 −100% | 6 |
| 71d | phredmoz | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov57¢ → 100¢ | $2,900 | +$2,188 +75% | 6 |
| 71d | kibanachi | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov59¢ → 100¢ | $8,113 | +$5,638 +69% | 6 |
| 71d | jrneymar | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov52¢ → 100¢ | $1,220 | +$1,126 +92% | 6 |
| 71d | omnibus-076daa | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino46¢ → 0¢ | $2,236 | −$2,236 −100% | 6 |
| 71d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino45¢ → 0¢ | $6,840 | −$6,840 −100% | 6 |
| 71d |  BlessedSunshine888 | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov62¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$721 +61% | 6 |
| 71d | tradecraft | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov59¢ → 100¢ | $4,291 | +$2,982 +69% | 6 |
| 71d | Harmful-inclusion | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov55¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | +$1,350 +82% | 6 |
| 72d | Portly-Derivation | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino42¢ → 0¢ | $2,520 | −$2,520 −100% | 4 |
| 72d | fastball67 | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino38¢ → 0¢ | $11,010 | −$11,010 −100% | 4 |
| 73d | Substantial-Service | Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyDenis Shapovalov59¢ → 100¢ | $2,793 | +$1,941 +69% | 4 |
one8tyfive8,456 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Adrian Mannarino in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Denis Shapovalov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Cincinnati Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Adrian Mannarino means the market gives it about 100%.