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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 81¢ · >99¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +41 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +55 pts | — | 98¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +56 pts | — | 91¢ · 100¢ (9¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 Winner | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 Winner | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +69 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo Game Spread +/-1.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | Eztennis | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $29,970 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | johnny234 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $17,394 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Wide-Swordfish-Latitude | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $2,860 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Unmnownwasp | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $2,146 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | sk6200 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | SellDenis Shapovalov>99¢ | $1,293 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 21d | Kev69 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | SellDenis Shapovalov99¢ → 100¢ | $5,400 | −$55 −1.0% | — |
| 21d | Merc63 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | SellDenis Shapovalov99¢ → 100¢ | $2,700 | −$27 −1.0% | — |
| 21d | Kev69 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov55¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,455 +82% | 6 |
| 21d | Kev69 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | SellAlejandro Tabilo39¢ → 0¢ | $3,215 | +$3,215 +100% | — |
| 21d | NS13 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov54¢ → 100¢ | $1,645 | +$1,401 +85% | 6 |
| 21d | HomeRunHazard5 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov66¢ → 100¢ | $14,926 | +$7,699 +52% | 6 |
| 21d | HomeRunHazard | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyAlejandro Tabilo48¢ → 0¢ | $3,231 | −$3,231 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | Substantial-Service | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyAlejandro Tabilo50¢ → 0¢ | $41,308 | −$41,308 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | Eztennis | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov50¢ → 100¢ | $16,666 | +$16,781 +101% | 6 |
| 21d | User.0xE | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyAlejandro Tabilo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,040 | −$1,040 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | Exalted-Evocation | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov49¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$2,082 +104% | 6 |
| 21d | UpTheBlues8 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov72¢ → 100¢ | $15,989 | +$6,225 +39% | 6 |
| 21d | kkookkoo | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyAlejandro Tabilo49¢ → 0¢ | $11,378 | −$11,378 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | hurrican | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov53¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$1,286 +89% | 6 |
| 21d | Kev69 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyAlejandro Tabilo48¢ → 0¢ | $3,956 | −$3,956 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | Unmnownwasp | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov52¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$1,031 +92% | 6 |
| 21d | jtwyslljy | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov58¢ → 100¢ | $5,800 | +$4,200 +72% | 6 |
| 21d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyAlejandro Tabilo31¢ → 0¢ | $2,186 | −$2,186 −100% | 6 |
| 21d |  MurkSniper | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | SellDenis Shapovalov81¢ → 100¢ | $4,295 | −$1,008 −23% | — |
| 21d | Lorolorota09 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | SellDenis Shapovalov81¢ → 100¢ | $4,262 | −$1,000 −23% | — |
| 21d | Flaznorp2 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov82¢ → 100¢ | $8,383 | +$1,869 +22% | 5 |
| 21d | Valuable-Span-Casket | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyAlejandro Tabilo24¢ → 0¢ | $1,615 | −$1,615 −100% | 6 |
| 21d | MurkSniper | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov66¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$1,803 +52% | 6 |
| 21d | Merc63 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov55¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,227 +82% | 6 |
| 21d | Lorolorota09 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov57¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$2,261 +75% | 6 |
| 21d | mschaib | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov57¢ → 100¢ | $2,126 | +$1,604 +75% | 6 |
| 21d | SystemeBis | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov57¢ → 100¢ | $9,378 | +$7,075 +75% | 4 |
| 21d | madkkee | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov57¢ → 100¢ | $4,111 | +$3,101 +75% | 4 |
| 21d | johnny2342 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyDenis Shapovalov59¢ → 100¢ | $9,447 | +$6,530 +69% | 4 |
| 21d | 0x755a…82c4 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo | BuyAlejandro Tabilo43¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Denis Shapovalov and Alejandro Tabilo in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Denis Shapovalov' if Denis Shapovalov advances against Alejandro Tabilo. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Denis Shapovalov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Denis Shapovalov vs Alejandro Tabilo means the market gives it about 100%.