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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka | 50% | +7 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | −3 pts | — | 50¢ · 50¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | −22 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | +34 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | +4 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 Winner | 50% | +1 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +23 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Game Spread +/-1.5 | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 Winner | 50% | +6 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | +6 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | +13 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | −2 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | −5 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | −5 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | +7 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | −6 pts | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39d | dv-pm | Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka | BuyIlya Ivashka51¢ → 50¢ | $19,395 | −$380 −2.0% | 6 |
| 39d | SevenTons | Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka | BuyMarat Sharipov46¢ → 50¢ | $3,565 | +$332 +9.3% | 6 |
| 40d | pav584 | Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka | BuyIlya Ivashka59¢ → 50¢ | $1,000 | −$151 −15% | 4 |
| 41d | pav584 | Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | BuyOver87¢ → 50¢ | $1,000 | −$427 −43% | 4 |
| 41d | Reasonable-Listing | Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka Set 1 O/U 9.5 | BuyOver98¢ → 50¢ | $1,068 | −$523 −49% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Marat Sharipov and Ilya Ivashka in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marat Sharipov' if Marat Sharipov advances against Ilya Ivashka. This market will resolve to 'Ilya Ivashka' if Ilya Ivashka advances against Marat Sharipov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 50¢ for Guangzhou: Marat Sharipov vs Ilya Ivashka means the market gives it about 50%.