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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 1 Winner | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −52 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 2 Winner | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +64 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +18 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +67 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −45 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81d | Nihaww | National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic | SellMarin Cilic91¢ → 100¢ | $2,151 | −$213 −9.9% | — |
| 81d | Faithful-Jazz | National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic74¢ → 100¢ | $3,750 | +$1,318 +35% | 6 |
| 81d | Reliable-Giggle | National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic | BuySho Shimabukuro27¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | −$1,230 −100% | 6 |
| 81d | Numb-Ramie | National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic | BuySho Shimabukuro47¢ → 0¢ | $1,850 | −$1,850 −100% | 6 |
| 81d | Nihaww | National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic55¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$1,064 +82% | 6 |
| 82d | k56 | National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic57¢ → 100¢ | $1,986 | +$1,498 +75% | 4 |
Meowtchi1,416 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Marin Cilic in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 2, 2026 at 6:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Sho Shimabukuro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for National Bank Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Marin Cilic means the market gives it about 0%.