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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat | 56% | +2 pts | — | 56¢ · 57¢ (1¢) | $3.8K | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Game Spread +/-0.5 | 53% | — | — | 52¢ · 54¢ (2¢) | $5 | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Match O/U 22.5 | 51% | +2 pts | — | 49¢ · 52¢ (3¢) | $3.92 | in 8d |
| Completed Match | 51% | — | — | 1¢ · 100¢ (99¢) | — | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 Winner | 53% | +3 pts | — | 51¢ · 54¢ (3¢) | — | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 Winner | 50% | — | — | 2¢ · 98¢ (96¢) | — | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 40% | −11 pts | — | 38¢ · 41¢ (3¢) | — | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 81% | +33 pts | — | 79¢ · 83¢ (4¢) | — | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 56% | +7 pts | — | 50¢ · 61¢ (11¢) | — | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 32% | −17 pts | — | 31¢ · 33¢ (2¢) | — | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | −1 pts | — | — · 95¢ | — | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | — | — | 1¢ · 95¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | — | — | 1¢ · 95¢ (94¢) | — | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Match O/U 21.5 | 59% | +10 pts | — | 57¢ · 60¢ (3¢) | — | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Match O/U 23.5 | 45% | −5 pts | — | 43¢ · 46¢ (3¢) | — | in 8d |
| Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 35% | −15 pts | — | 33¢ · 36¢ (3¢) | — | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4h | vexlori8392 | Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat | BuySho Shimabukuro58¢ → 56¢ | $1,957 | −$43 −2.2% | 24 |
VeryLucky8881,225 shares
clownly321 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Jan Kumstat in the Seoul, originally scheduled for October 26, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Jan Kumstat. This market will resolve to 'Jan Kumstat' if Jan Kumstat advances against Sho Shimabukuro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 56¢ for Seoul: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jan Kumstat means the market gives it about 56%.