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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | 100% | +82 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Completed Match | 100% | +47 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +55 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Game Spread +/-4.5 | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 Winner | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 Winner | 100% | +76 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +68 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +61 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +70 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 3d |
| Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 3d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4d | neutralwave23 | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | SellSho Shimabukuro>99¢ | $1,441 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 4d | madkkee | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | SellSho Shimabukuro>99¢ | $2,552 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 4d | Jooboo123 | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | SellSho Shimabukuro>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 4d |  c4acap | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | BuySho Shimabukuro>99¢ | $2,966 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 4d | Numb-Ramie | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | SellSho Shimabukuro60¢ → 100¢ | $3,040 | −$1,993 −66% | — |
| 4d | bestevertodoit | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | SellSho Shimabukuro84¢ → 100¢ | $2,221 | −$417 −19% | — |
| 4d | Jooboo123 | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | BuySho Shimabukuro85¢ → 100¢ | $4,258 | +$742 +17% | 5 |
| 4d | BobbyMalen | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | BuySho Shimabukuro86¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$318 +16% | 5 |
| 4d | redvinny3 fills | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | SellSho Shimabukuro78¢ → 100¢ | $7,632 | −$2,147 −28% | — |
| 4d | redvinny2 fills | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | BuySho Shimabukuro71¢ → 100¢ | $6,306 | +$2,582 +41% | 6 |
| 4d | Exalted-Evocation | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | BuySho Shimabukuro69¢ → 100¢ | $2,732 | +$1,251 +46% | 6 |
| 4d | madkkee | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | BuySho Shimabukuro69¢ → 100¢ | $1,750 | +$805 +46% | 6 |
| 4d | madkkee | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | SellRoman Safiullin31¢ → 0¢ | $1,047 | +$1,047 +100% | — |
| 4d | jtwyslljy5 fills | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | BuySho Shimabukuro25¢ → 100¢ | $12,163 | +$37,025 +304% | 6 |
| 4d | kkookkoo | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | SellRoman Safiullin76¢ → 0¢ | $3,822 | +$3,822 +100% | — |
| 4d | Numb-Ramie | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | BuySho Shimabukuro24¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | +$3,815 +313% | 6 |
| 4d | Impassioned-SustainmentNew account | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | SellSho Shimabukuro27¢ → 100¢ | $1,190 | −$3,200 −269% | — |
| 4d | HomeRunHazard | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | BuyRoman Safiullin82¢ → 0¢ | $1,230 | −$1,230 −100% | 5 |
| 4d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | BuySho Shimabukuro21¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$3,878 +388% | 6 |
| 4d | UpTheBlues4 fills | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | BuyRoman Safiullin85¢ → 0¢ | $14,493 | −$14,493 −100% | 5 |
| 4d | Luzzzer | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | SellSho Shimabukuro8¢ → 100¢ | $1,060 | −$11,550 −1090% | — |
| 4d | Luzzzer | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | BuySho Shimabukuro23¢ → 100¢ | $2,865 | +$9,745 +340% | 6 |
| 4d | kkookkoo2 fills | Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin | BuyRoman Safiullin86¢ → 0¢ | $8,929 | −$8,929 −100% | 5 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Sho Shimabukuro and Roman Safiullin in the Almaty Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Sho Shimabukuro' if Sho Shimabukuro advances against Roman Safiullin. This market will resolve to 'Roman Safiullin' if Roman Safiullin advances against Sho Shimabukuro. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Almaty Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Roman Safiullin means the market gives it about 100%.