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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Completed Match | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo | 50% | −25 pts | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | −1 pts | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 1 Winner | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 2 Winner | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | — | — | 48¢ · 52¢ (4¢) | — | ended |
| Zhangjiagang: Ilia Simakin vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 51d | Insidious-Peacoat | Completed Match | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$638 +55% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Ilia Simakin and Luca Castelnuovo in the Zhangjiagang, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Ilia Simakin' if Ilia Simakin advances against Luca Castelnuovo. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Ilia Simakin. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Completed Match means the market gives it about 0%.