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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo: Daniel Siniakov vs Daniele Rapagnetta | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20d | bogemika | Palermo: Daniel Siniakov vs Daniele Rapagnetta | SellDaniel Siniakov>99¢ | $1,645 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | gysh.qs | Palermo: Daniel Siniakov vs Daniele Rapagnetta | SellDaniel Siniakov>99¢ | $1,571 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 20d | flatbarrel | Palermo: Daniel Siniakov vs Daniele Rapagnetta | BuyDaniele Rapagnetta82¢ → 0¢ | $1,638 | −$1,638 −100% | 5 |
| 20d |  tradecraft | Palermo: Daniel Siniakov vs Daniele Rapagnetta | BuyDaniele Rapagnetta83¢ → 0¢ | $1,657 | −$1,657 −100% | 5 |
| 20d |  TRCM | Palermo: Daniel Siniakov vs Daniele Rapagnetta | BuyDaniele Rapagnetta82¢ → 0¢ | $1,638 | −$1,638 −100% | 5 |
| 20d |  0x5fD2D9C60781D711721145Ff2b906aA63a18 | Palermo: Daniel Siniakov vs Daniele Rapagnetta | SellDaniele Rapagnetta96¢ → 0¢ | $1,017 | +$1,017 +100% | — |
clownly260 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Siniakov and Daniele Rapagnetta in the Palermo, Italy, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 5:10AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Siniakov' if Daniel Siniakov advances against Daniele Rapagnetta. This market will resolve to 'Daniele Rapagnetta' if Daniele Rapagnetta advances against Daniel Siniakov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Palermo: Daniel Siniakov vs Daniele Rapagnetta means the market gives it about 100%.