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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | 100% | +16 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Set 1 Winner | 100% | +23 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −79 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175d |  bo0xts | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 175d |  peperone | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $5,759 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | gamechanger001 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $2,497 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Bublik0101 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $1,074 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Moneyminter.365 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $1,491 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d |  coinlaundry | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $16,630 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | joespina666 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $3,596 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 175d |  Cosmos99 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellSinner>99¢ | $1,081 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | bruc333 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $1,347 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | annon22 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $4,421 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Worthless-Payment | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $1,204 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | DaveDave72 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $1,153 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | eokho | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $8,462 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | madkkee | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $8,879 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | sbcrr333 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellSinner>99¢ | $1,289 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Scrawny-Literate | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Match O/U 21.5 | SellUnder>99¢ | $1,949 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Immense-Sitar | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $1,376 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | dakal | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellSinner>99¢ | $1,023 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Brave-Prey | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $2,060 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Ivanet109 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellSinner>99¢ | $16,032 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Ffcboy | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $1,889 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | Sacrod | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $11,823 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | CANClairvoyant | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $1,393 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | KJ31 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $7,868 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | mm12310 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $3,569 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | DaBossHogg | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellSinner99¢ → 100¢ | $2,510 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 175d | BunCaCham | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner>99¢ | $3,829 | +$4 +0.1% | 4 |
| 175d | franklineth | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner>99¢ | $5,386 | +$17 +0.3% | 4 |
| 175d | yupiiiiiiiii | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner98¢ → 100¢ | $2,319 | +$47 +2.0% | 4 |
| 175d | swisstony11 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner88¢ → 100¢ | $43,306 | +$6,119 +14% | 4 |
| 175d | 08AF2 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner95¢ → 100¢ | $6,662 | +$351 +5.3% | 4 |
| 175d | lsijlsirjliryi | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner94¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$299 +6.0% | 4 |
| 175d | mptt2 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner95¢ → 100¢ | $1,866 | −$98 −5.2% | — |
| 175d | Putrid-Sandpaper | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner95¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | −$61 −5.4% | — |
| 175d | KJ312 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner96¢ → 100¢ | $7,250 | +$340 +4.7% | 4 |
| 175d |  GetOffMyDikerson | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner97¢ → 100¢ | $3,563 | +$129 +3.6% | 4 |
| 175d | 0Ebe | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner97¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$36 +3.6% | 4 |
| 175d | Sacrod2 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner96¢ → 100¢ | $10,913 | +$420 +3.8% | 4 |
| 175d |  avenger | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner97¢ → 100¢ | $4,845 | +$155 +3.2% | 4 |
| 175d | Exalted-Evocation | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner97¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$665 +3.3% | 4 |
| 175d | minggo329 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner97¢ → 100¢ | $5,927 | +$183 +3.1% | 4 |
| 175d | CGUPO | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner96¢ → 100¢ | $9,137 | −$386 −4.2% | — |
| 175d | coinlaundry6 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner94¢ → 100¢ | $29,127 | +$1,701 +5.8% | 4 |
| 175d | Brave-Prey | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$62 +3.1% | 5 |
| 175d | fadsfdfadsf12 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner96¢ → 100¢ | $4,444 | +$203 +4.6% | 4 |
| 175d |  tradecraft | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner94¢ → 100¢ | $4,974 | −$317 −6.4% | — |
| 175d |  leleo173 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner88¢ → 100¢ | $12,500 | +$1,706 +14% | 5 |
| 175d | redvinny4 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner93¢ → 100¢ | $5,164 | −$389 −7.5% | — |
| 175d | bruc333 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner94¢ → 100¢ | $1,267 | +$81 +6.4% | 4 |
| 175d | KevinChe202603 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner93¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$143 +7.5% | 4 |
| 175d | leohe2 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner88¢ → 100¢ | $3,803 | +$507 +13% | 5 |
| 175d | tradecraft2 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner85¢ → 100¢ | $7,617 | +$1,346 +18% | 5 |
| 175d | mptt2 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner84¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | +$320 +19% | 5 |
| 175d | ferrariChampions2026 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyArthur Fils16¢ → 0¢ | $1,429 | −$1,429 −100% | 6 |
| 175d | 0x4fc4…1f41 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyArthur Fils19¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 175d |  TRCM | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | SellJannik Sinner83¢ → 100¢ | $1,027 | −$210 −20% | — |
| 175d | annon222 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner84¢ → 100¢ | $2,016 | +$384 +19% | 5 |
| 175d | grinlorber | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner84¢ → 100¢ | $2,119 | +$404 +19% | 5 |
| 175d | EliseHulde90547 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner84¢ → 100¢ | $2,119 | +$404 +19% | 5 |
| 175d | ferrariChampions2026 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils | BuyJannik Sinner84¢ → 100¢ | $3,808 | +$725 +19% | 5 |
sunflowaa111,020 shares
DCABC33,747 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Arthur Fils in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for May 1, 2026 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Arthur Fils. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Fils' if Arthur Fils advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils means the market gives it about 100%.