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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | 100% | +3 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 Winner | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −28 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 180d |  trusty9 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $1,360 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | rrrttt676767 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $1,743 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | Testy-Emotion | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $1,492 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | iluvdubnation | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $3,994 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 180d |  barocco | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $4,864 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | phredmoz | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $5,005 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 180d |  ACEE123 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | SellJannik Sinner>99¢ | $29,187 | −$29 −0.1% | — |
| 180d | BunCaCham2 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner>99¢ | $12,366 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 180d | uscavi | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 180d |  Dark-Shower2 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | SellJannik Sinner99¢ → 100¢ | $2,198 | −$25 −1.1% | — |
| 180d | toanhtoanh | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner>99¢ | $1,392 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 180d | simbich | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner99¢ → 100¢ | $3,842 | +$27 +0.7% | 4 |
| 180d | barocco | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner99¢ → 100¢ | $4,829 | +$39 +0.8% | 4 |
| 180d | iluvdubnation | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner99¢ → 100¢ | $3,969 | +$29 +0.7% | 4 |
| 180d | Dark-Shower2 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner99¢ → 100¢ | $2,203 | +$19 +0.9% | 4 |
| 180d | ACEE123 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner99¢ → 100¢ | $14,085 | +$128 +0.9% | 4 |
| 180d | RichSK | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | SellJannik Sinner99¢ → 100¢ | $2,717 | −$25 −0.9% | — |
| 180d | Assad1979 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner99¢ → 100¢ | $1,122 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 180d | Humble-Colonization | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner99¢ → 100¢ | $8,064 | +$108 +1.3% | 4 |
| 180d | phredmoz | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner97¢ → 100¢ | $4,844 | +$161 +3.3% | 4 |
| 180d | Testy-Emotion | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner97¢ → 100¢ | $1,448 | +$45 +3.1% | 4 |
| 180d | minggo329 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner97¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$34 +3.4% | 4 |
| 180d | hohoit2 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner97¢ → 100¢ | $8,377 | +$272 +3.3% | 4 |
| 180d | RichSK | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner98¢ → 100¢ | $2,697 | +$43 +1.6% | 4 |
| 180d | KevinChe202603 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner98¢ → 100¢ | $5,853 | +$139 +2.4% | 4 |
| 180d | vincentchase11 | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner98¢ → 100¢ | $4,994 | +$107 +2.1% | 4 |
| 180d | Sacrod2 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner98¢ → 100¢ | $12,731 | +$261 +2.0% | 4 |
| 180d |  lllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllllll | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner98¢ → 100¢ | $15,975 | +$285 +1.8% | 4 |
| 180d | 5551ab5 fills | Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller | BuyJannik Sinner98¢ → 100¢ | $27,838 | +$516 +1.9% | 4 |
RN113,993 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Jannik Sinner and Elmer Moeller in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 26, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jannik Sinner' if Jannik Sinner advances against Elmer Moeller. This market will resolve to 'Elmer Moeller' if Elmer Moeller advances against Jannik Sinner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Elmer Moeller means the market gives it about 100%.