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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya | 0% | −70 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +42 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Set 1 Winner | 100% | +33 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Set 2 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −61 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18d | JerOri | Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya | BuyHiroki Moriya98¢ → 100¢ | $8,985 | +$221 +2.5% | 4 |
| 18d | Ss1984 | Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya | BuyHiroki Moriya94¢ → 100¢ | $1,747 | +$114 +6.5% | 4 |
| 18d | UpTheBlues | Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya | BuyHiroki Moriya59¢ → 100¢ | $1,802 | +$1,258 +70% | 6 |
| 18d | HomeRunHazard5 fills | Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya | BuyKeegan Smith79¢ → 0¢ | $9,559 | −$9,559 −100% | 5 |
| 18d | Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya | BuyKeegan Smith61¢ → 0¢ | $3,125 | −$3,125 −100% | 6 | |
| 18d | JerOri | Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya | SellKeegan Smith68¢ → 0¢ | $2,157 | +$2,157 +100% | — |
| 18d | UpTheBlues5 fills | Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya | BuyKeegan Smith97¢ → 0¢ | $8,928 | −$8,928 −100% | 4 |
| 18d | Flaznorp | Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya | BuyKeegan Smith96¢ → 0¢ | $5,186 | −$5,186 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Hiroki Moriya in the Wuning 3, originally scheduled for October 4, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Hiroki Moriya. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriya' if Hiroki Moriya advances against Keegan Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Wuning 3: Keegan Smith vs Hiroki Moriya means the market gives it about 0%.