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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $139K | in 6d |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $155 | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $16.7 | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $5 | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | $4.99 | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 6d |
| Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate Game Spread +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | in 6d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17h | artemaka01 | Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate | SellTristan Schoolkate>99¢ | $1,105 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 17h | veliMax | Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate | SellTristan Schoolkate>99¢ | $2,211 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 17h | UpTheBlues5 fills | Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate | BuyTristan Schoolkate80¢ → 100¢ | $8,989 | +$2,228 +25% | 9 |
| 17h | w... | Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate | BuyTristan Schoolkate91¢ → 100¢ | $1,358 | +$142 +10% | 5 |
| 17h |  Woaifacai | Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate | BuyKeegan Smith21¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 7 |
| 17h | robustmst2 fills | Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate | BuyKeegan Smith47¢ → 0¢ | $20,850 | −$20,850 −100% | 18 |
| 18h | UpTheBlues | Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate | BuyKeegan Smith45¢ → 0¢ | $1,184 | −$1,184 −100% | 7 |
Woaifacai7,679 shares
eskk482 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Keegan Smith and Tristan Schoolkate in the Guangzhou 2, originally scheduled for October 23, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Keegan Smith' if Keegan Smith advances against Tristan Schoolkate. This market will resolve to 'Tristan Schoolkate' if Tristan Schoolkate advances against Keegan Smith. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Guangzhou 2: Keegan Smith vs Tristan Schoolkate means the market gives it about 0%.