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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190d |  Brick888 | Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno | SellMatias Soto>99¢ | $1,115 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 190d | masterluigi | Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno | SellMatias Soto>99¢ | $2,229 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 190d | Ancient-Infarction | Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno | SellMatias Soto99¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 190d | Calm-Ikebana | Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno | BuyMatias Soto94¢ → 100¢ | $10,542 | +$717 +6.8% | 4 |
| 190d | mwenya2 fills | Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno | BuyMatias Soto93¢ → 100¢ | $3,708 | +$279 +7.5% | 4 |
| 190d | Celebrated-Picture | Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno | BuyMatias Soto84¢ → 100¢ | $1,497 | +$285 +19% | 7 |
| 190d | ferrariChampions2026 | Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno | BuyMatias Soto43¢ → 100¢ | $2,049 | +$2,716 +133% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Matias Soto and Gonzalo Bueno in the Santa Cruz, originally scheduled for April 16, 2026 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matias Soto' if Matias Soto advances against Gonzalo Bueno. This market will resolve to 'Gonzalo Bueno' if Gonzalo Bueno advances against Matias Soto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Santa Cruz: Matias Soto vs Gonzalo Bueno means the market gives it about 100%.