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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Roger Pascual Ferra | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39d |  MurkSniper | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Roger Pascual Ferra | SellLuca Staeheli>99¢ | $2,986 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | tenniz | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Roger Pascual Ferra | BuyLuca Staeheli98¢ → 100¢ | $3,236 | +$62 +1.9% | 4 |
| 39d | madridcurious44 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Roger Pascual Ferra | BuyLuca Staeheli94¢ → 100¢ | $4,700 | +$300 +6.4% | 4 |
| 39d |  laIaIalala | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Roger Pascual Ferra | BuyLuca Staeheli86¢ → 100¢ | $17,392 | +$2,739 +16% | 5 |
| 39d | MurkSniper | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Roger Pascual Ferra | BuyLuca Staeheli88¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$341 +14% | 5 |
| 39d | Bigr100 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Roger Pascual Ferra | SellLuca Staeheli90¢ → 100¢ | $3,461 | −$385 −11% | — |
| 39d | Carlos10 | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Roger Pascual Ferra | BuyRoger Pascual Ferra50¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | UpTheBlues | Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Roger Pascual Ferra | BuyRoger Pascual Ferra89¢ → 0¢ | $3,189 | −$3,189 −100% | 5 |
Mother-Teresa166 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Luca Staeheli and Roger Pascual Ferra in the Tiburon, USA, Qualifying, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Staeheli' if Luca Staeheli advances against Roger Pascual Ferra. This market will resolve to 'Roger Pascual Ferra' if Roger Pascual Ferra advances against Luca Staeheli. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Tiburon: Luca Staeheli vs Roger Pascual Ferra means the market gives it about 100%.