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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | 100% | +73 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 Winner | 100% | +66 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +46 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 2 Winner | 100% | +65 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24d | Piercing-Achievement | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | SellAlejandro Tabilo>99¢ | $2,371 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 24d |  GameMaster2026 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | SellAlejandro Tabilo>99¢ | $1,421 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 24d | Madeira99 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | SellAlejandro Tabilo>99¢ | $1,753 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 24d | brownworkgloves | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | SellAlejandro Tabilo>99¢ | $4,223 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 24d | MilesY | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | SellAlejandro Tabilo>99¢ | $2,202 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 24d | dmoralez2 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyAlejandro Tabilo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,844 | +$128 +2.6% | 4 |
| 24d | Flaznorp4 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyAlejandro Tabilo94¢ → 100¢ | $16,589 | +$997 +6.0% | 4 |
| 24d | User7429 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyAlejandro Tabilo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,111 | +$34 +3.1% | 4 |
| 24d | whosay2 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | SellAlejandro Tabilo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,499 | −$512 −20% | — |
| 24d | brownworkgloves | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyAlejandro Tabilo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,720 | +$507 +14% | 5 |
| 24d | User.0xE | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyAlejandro Tabilo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,190 | +$810 +37% | 6 |
| 24d | MilesY | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyAlejandro Tabilo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,939 | +$264 +14% | 5 |
| 24d | Piercing-Achievement | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyAlejandro Tabilo88¢ → 100¢ | $2,080 | +$284 +14% | 5 |
| 24d | HomeRunHazard | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyAlejandro Tabilo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,148 | +$440 +20% | 5 |
| 24d | Madeira99 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyAlejandro Tabilo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$754 +75% | 6 |
| 24d | 0x760f…326a | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyAlejandro Tabilo55¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$4,091 +82% | 6 |
| 24d | Valuable-Span-Casket | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul49¢ → 0¢ | $1,084 | −$1,084 −100% | 6 |
| 24d |  KioskJammer | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyAlejandro Tabilo50¢ → 100¢ | $4,222 | +$4,222 +100% | 6 |
| 24d | Exalted-Evocation | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul68¢ → 0¢ | $1,841 | −$1,841 −100% | 6 |
| 24d | LightSword707 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul73¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 24d | Laoxiong | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul72¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 6 |
| 24d | jtwyslljy | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul72¢ → 0¢ | $3,240 | −$3,240 −100% | 6 |
| 24d | chillballer | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul72¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 24d | ferrariChampions2026 | Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul | BuyTommy Paul71¢ → 0¢ | $10,988 | −$10,988 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Tommy Paul in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, originally scheduled for September 29, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Tommy Paul. This market will resolve to 'Tommy Paul' if Tommy Paul advances against Alejandro Tabilo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tommy Paul means the market gives it about 100%.