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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 Winner | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% | — | — | 50¢ · 51¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Match O/U 23.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 51¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | — | — | 30¢ · 70¢ (40¢) | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | — | — | — · 100¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78d | 0x0b08…02ab | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellArthur Rinderknech>99¢ | $34,929 | −$35 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | akasa | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellArthur Rinderknech>99¢ | $17,572 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | tes21sa | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellArthur Rinderknech>99¢ | $29,781 | −$30 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | bigwhale1337 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellArthur Rinderknech>99¢ | $10,733 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | tennistrader20 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellArthur Rinderknech>99¢ | $6,515 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | Noisy-Waitress | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellArthur Rinderknech99¢ → 100¢ | $1,448 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 78d | 0x5d1a…e943 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellArthur Rinderknech99¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | −$10 −1.0% | — |
| 78d |  LarryDaddy2 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellArthur Rinderknech81¢ → 100¢ | $37,658 | −$8,801 −23% | — |
| 78d | Absolyutno-pohuy | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech95¢ → 100¢ | $14,250 | +$750 +5.3% | 4 |
| 78d | NoAddress | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech95¢ → 100¢ | $4,294 | +$226 +5.3% | 4 |
| 78d | 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f22 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech93¢ → 100¢ | $5,929 | +$430 +7.2% | 4 |
| 78d | swisstony2 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech90¢ → 100¢ | $15,064 | +$1,607 +11% | 5 |
| 78d |  tradecraft | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech92¢ → 100¢ | $1,677 | +$146 +8.7% | 5 |
| 78d | SchruteBucks | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech92¢ → 100¢ | $2,484 | +$216 +8.7% | 5 |
| 78d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech79¢ → 100¢ | $19,368 | +$5,164 +27% | 5 |
| 78d | flatbarrel | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech88¢ → 100¢ | $2,766 | +$374 +14% | 5 |
| 78d | LarryDaddy3 fills | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech47¢ → 100¢ | $21,693 | +$24,766 +114% | 6 |
| 78d | kahe | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellFrances Tiafoe18¢ → 0¢ | $2,055 | +$2,055 +100% | — |
| 78d | Studious-DerrickNew account | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech Set 1 Winner | SellRinderknech>99¢ | $2,842 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 78d |  fRibrenlc | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech76¢ → 100¢ | $7,966 | +$2,516 +32% | 6 |
| 78d | sportsbettor77 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellFrances Tiafoe24¢ → 0¢ | $1,818 | +$1,818 +100% | — |
| 78d | Same-Deodorant | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | SellArthur Rinderknech68¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | −$548 −47% | — |
| 78d | sportsbettor77 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyFrances Tiafoe66¢ → 0¢ | $5,000 | −$5,000 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | bigwhale1337 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech38¢ → 100¢ | $4,037 | +$6,707 +166% | 6 |
| 78d | swisstony | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyFrances Tiafoe61¢ → 0¢ | $2,834 | −$2,834 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | tennistrader20 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech46¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$3,522 +117% | 6 |
| 78d | kahe | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyFrances Tiafoe66¢ → 0¢ | $7,500 | −$7,500 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | NewTeamSosed | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyFrances Tiafoe64¢ → 0¢ | $3,259 | −$3,259 −100% | 6 |
| 78d |  VeryLucky888 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyFrances Tiafoe64¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | −$1,280 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | thecomplicatedguy | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyFrances Tiafoe64¢ → 0¢ | $6,400 | −$6,400 −100% | 6 |
| 78d | AV23IUa | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyFrances Tiafoe64¢ → 0¢ | $50,000 | −$50,000 −100% | 4 |
| 78d | NiNo999 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyFrances Tiafoe64¢ → 0¢ | $3,200 | −$3,200 −100% | 4 |
| 78d | opeankdngsuxhxbskx | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech37¢ → 100¢ | $3,001 | +$5,110 +170% | 4 |
| 78d | k56 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyArthur Rinderknech37¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$2,128 +170% | 4 |
| 78d | sunnyhussain96 | National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech | BuyFrances Tiafoe63¢ → 0¢ | $2,908 | −$2,908 −100% | 4 |
eskk29,623 shares
riggggggedGGGGr2,100 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Frances Tiafoe and Arthur Rinderknech in the National Bank Open, originally scheduled for August 6, 2026 at 8:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Frances Tiafoe' if Frances Tiafoe advances against Arthur Rinderknech. This market will resolve to 'Arthur Rinderknech' if Arthur Rinderknech advances against Frances Tiafoe. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Arthur Rinderknech means the market gives it about 0%.