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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | 100% | +25 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 Winner | 100% | +32 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 Winner | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −44 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +28 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68d | ChallengerSpecialist | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | SellLearner Tien>99¢ | $7,470 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 68d | DAKJE | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellTien>99¢ | $1,175 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 68d | madkkee | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | SellLearner Tien>99¢ | $4,550 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 68d | ferrariChampions2026 | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | BuyLearner Tien89¢ → 100¢ | $21,077 | +$2,605 +12% | 5 |
| 68d | HomeRunHazard5 fills | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | BuyLearner Tien87¢ → 100¢ | $22,316 | +$3,408 +15% | 5 |
| 68d | swisstony | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | BuyLearner Tien89¢ → 100¢ | $19,370 | +$2,394 +12% | 5 |
| 68d |  barocco | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | SellLearner Tien85¢ → 100¢ | $1,899 | −$332 −17% | — |
| 68d | flatbarrel | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | BuyLearner Tien93¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | +$114 +7.5% | 4 |
| 68d | madkkee | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | BuyLearner Tien93¢ → 100¢ | $4,236 | +$319 +7.5% | 4 |
| 68d | 0x02fd…104c | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 Winner | SellTien>99¢ | $1,836 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 68d | Lorolorota09 | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | SellLearner Tien90¢ → 100¢ | $1,206 | −$134 −11% | — |
| 68d | Genuine-Turning-Research | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | BuyLearner Tien80¢ → 100¢ | $16,492 | +$4,123 +25% | 5 |
| 68d | ChallengerSpecialist | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | BuyLearner Tien76¢ → 100¢ | $3,796 | +$1,199 +32% | 6 |
| 68d | 0x02fd…104c | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set 1 Winner | BuyTien68¢ → 100¢ | $1,250 | +$588 +47% | 6 |
| 68d | eokho | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | SellBaez49¢ → 0¢ | $1,388 | +$1,388 +100% | — |
| 68d | eokho | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyBaez53¢ → 0¢ | $1,500 | −$1,500 −100% | 6 |
| 68d | barocco | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | BuyLearner Tien76¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$531 +31% | 6 |
| 68d | ssj3 | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | BuyLearner Tien75¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$667 +33% | 6 |
| 68d | Lorolorota09 | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | BuyLearner Tien75¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$335 +33% | 6 |
| 68d | Tedious-Purchase | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | BuyLearner Tien75¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$500 +33% | 6 |
| 68d | Severe-Confidentiality | Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez | BuyLearner Tien75¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$387 +33% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Sebastian Baez in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Learner Tien' if Learner Tien advances against Sebastian Baez. This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Baez' if Sebastian Baez advances against Learner Tien. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Cincinnati Open: Learner Tien vs Sebastian Baez means the market gives it about 100%.