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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | 0% | −71 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −55 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 Winner | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-2.5 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · 5¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 Winner | 100% | +37 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 40.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 36.5 | 100% | +47 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 38.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 3 Winner | 0% | −63 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Total Sets: O/U 3.5 | 100% | +30 pts | — | 80¢ · 100¢ (20¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Total Sets: O/U 4.5 | 100% | +73 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 4 Winner | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 3 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 3 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 3 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 4 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 4 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 4 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53d | Notag12411 | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $5,700 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 53d | denya222 | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $1,503 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 53d | astapzippo | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAdrian Mannarino>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 53d |  Rex416 | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino94¢ → 100¢ | $1,880 | +$120 +6.4% | 4 |
| 53d | flatbarrel2 fills | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino61¢ → 100¢ | $9,110 | +$5,879 +65% | 6 |
| 53d | Notag12411 | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino93¢ → 100¢ | $5,307 | +$399 +7.5% | 4 |
| 53d | TexMexTRex | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino93¢ → 100¢ | $7,364 | +$587 +8.0% | 4 |
| 53d | Cavernous-Undershirt2 fills | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAdrian Mannarino91¢ → 100¢ | $4,265 | −$413 −9.7% | — |
| 53d | Cavernous-Undershirt2 fills | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino93¢ → 100¢ | $4,353 | +$325 +7.5% | 4 |
| 54d | Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino91¢ → 100¢ | $4,333 | +$429 +9.9% | 5 |
| 54d | Flaznorp4 fills | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino90¢ → 100¢ | $7,232 | +$784 +11% | 5 |
| 54d | mpoly | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAdrian Mannarino91¢ → 100¢ | $1,408 | −$141 −10% | — |
| 54d | Exalted-Evocation | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAdrian Mannarino90¢ → 100¢ | $3,868 | −$430 −11% | — |
| 54d | MMzz398 | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAdrian Mannarino90¢ → 100¢ | $1,001 | −$110 −11% | — |
| 54d | suntori | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino94¢ → 100¢ | $4,762 | +$313 +6.6% | 4 |
| 54d | mpoly | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino85¢ → 100¢ | $1,243 | +$220 +18% | 5 |
| 54d | Bigr100 | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAdrian Mannarino83¢ → 100¢ | $4,836 | −$991 −20% | — |
| 54d | MMzz398 | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino55¢ → 100¢ | $1,449 | +$1,185 +82% | 6 |
| 54d | eightcountnuggetmeal | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante49¢ → 0¢ | $1,006 | −$1,006 −100% | 6 |
| 54d | honey-spot | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante51¢ → 0¢ | $2,990 | −$2,990 −100% | 6 |
| 54d | AGUGava | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino51¢ → 100¢ | $25,472 | +$24,528 +96% | 6 |
| 54d | Exalted-Evocation | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino50¢ → 100¢ | $2,348 | +$2,363 +101% | 6 |
| 54d | Dragua9 | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino43¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$1,710 +133% | 6 |
| 54d | HomeRunHazard | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino39¢ → 100¢ | $2,496 | +$3,905 +156% | 6 |
| 54d | 787-HUEV-W-ZOPE | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino35¢ → 100¢ | $1,904 | +$3,536 +186% | 6 |
| 54d | Flaznorp3 fills | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante73¢ → 0¢ | $7,636 | −$7,636 −100% | 6 |
| 54d | BillyGating7 fills | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino35¢ → 100¢ | $62,792 | +$118K +188% | 6 |
| 54d | HomeRunHazard3 fills | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante74¢ → 0¢ | $9,466 | −$9,466 −100% | 6 |
| 54d | afraz | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante87¢ → 0¢ | $16,000 | −$16,000 −100% | 5 |
| 54d | Refaelnadal | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | SellThiago Agustin Tirante93¢ → 0¢ | $1,398 | +$1,398 +100% | — |
| 54d | 0b14 fills | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante71¢ → 0¢ | $16,976 | −$16,976 −100% | 6 |
| 54d | Rash-Copying2 fills | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | SellThiago Agustin Tirante75¢ → 0¢ | $63,866 | +$63,866 +100% | — |
| 54d | 47HD13 | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | SellAdrian Mannarino23¢ → 100¢ | $1,651 | −$5,515 −334% | — |
| 54d | neutralwave23 | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante74¢ → 0¢ | $1,875 | −$1,875 −100% | 6 |
| 54d | 0xa0f2…18484 fills | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante61¢ → 0¢ | $4,734 | −$4,734 −100% | 6 |
| 54d | Rash-Copying | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante59¢ → 0¢ | $50,000 | −$50,000 −100% | 6 |
| 54d |  TRCM | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino40¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$5,400 +150% | 6 |
| 54d | 47HD13 | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino43¢ → 100¢ | $3,092 | +$4,074 +132% | 6 |
| 54d |  ForAndWithYou | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyMannarino43¢ → 100¢ | $1,613 | +$2,138 +133% | 6 |
| 54d | NiNo9992 fills | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | BuyTirante59¢ → 0¢ | $23,878 | −$23,878 −100% | 6 |
| 54d | ferrariChampions2026 | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino29¢ → 100¢ | $3,301 | +$8,081 +245% | 6 |
| 54d | dv-pm | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyAdrian Mannarino28¢ → 100¢ | $1,829 | +$4,704 +257% | 6 |
| 54d | ferrariChampions2026 | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante72¢ → 0¢ | $5,406 | −$5,406 −100% | 6 |
| 55d | degenfren | US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante72¢ → 0¢ | $3,653 | −$3,653 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Adrian Mannarino in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino means the market gives it about 0%.