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Polymarket · Sports
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | 60% | — | — | 59¢ · 60¢ (1¢) | $21.1K | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | — | — | 49¢ · 50¢ (1¢) | $6.58K | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 40% | — | — | 39¢ · 40¢ (1¢) | $151 | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 23.5 | 43% | — | — | 42¢ · 44¢ (2¢) | $133 | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 21.5 | 57% | — | — | 56¢ · 59¢ (3¢) | $50 | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 37% | — | — | 36¢ · 38¢ (2¢) | $39.7 | in 7d |
| Completed Match | 50% | — | — | 1¢ · 98¢ (97¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 Winner | 57% | — | — | 57¢ · 58¢ (1¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 Winner | 56% | — | — | 53¢ · 60¢ (7¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 82% | — | — | 80¢ · 84¢ (4¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 58% | — | — | 53¢ · 63¢ (10¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 34% | — | — | 32¢ · 35¢ (3¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 48% | — | — | — · 96¢ | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 48% | — | — | — · 96¢ | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 48% | — | — | — · 96¢ | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 24% | — | — | 22¢ · 26¢ (4¢) | — | in 7d |
| Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Game Spread +/-0.5 | 44% | — | — | 41¢ · 47¢ (6¢) | — | in 7d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10m | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino Match O/U 22.5 | BuyUnder53¢ → 51¢ | $3,500 | −$181 −5.2% | 24 |
| 6h | viper0310 | Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante57¢ → 60¢ | $3,522 | +$154 +4.4% | 17 |
VeryLucky888519 shares
nigiri991,422 shares
Gl4d677 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Adrian Mannarino in the Erste Bank Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Adrian Mannarino. This market will resolve to 'Adrian Mannarino' if Adrian Mannarino advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 60¢ for Erste Bank Open, Qualification: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino means the market gives it about 60%.