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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 164d |  Reconquistador | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $11,988 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Excellent-Yoga | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,111 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | lebronjames23 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $2,318 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | madkkee | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $11,287 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Back2GRT | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | VisionOfLove | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,249 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | romanh31 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $12,516 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | popajpajpo | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,052 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | RafaelGontero | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $2,332 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | WynnWaldorf | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $17,189 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 164d |  Lawsuitevidencaugust2026 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,841 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Young-Ruin | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,240 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Triplosettete | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $3,006 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | Grizzled-RoundaboutNew account | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,680 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | sjqdhqsjgd65 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $44,235 | −$44 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | 0xc1d7…47a4 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $1,197 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | ethlayermaxim | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $11,289 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 164d |  sep22 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $4,536 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 164d | piagopilva | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $12,733 | +$15 +0.1% | 4 |
| 164d | mojeimeje | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev>99¢ | $13,527 | +$14 +0.1% | 4 |
| 164d | Balliol | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev99¢ → 100¢ | $1,729 | −$17 −1.0% | — |
| 164d | witk | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev99¢ → 100¢ | $4,010 | −$41 −1.0% | — |
| 164d | swisstony7 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev80¢ → 100¢ | $20,041 | +$5,073 +25% | 5 |
| 164d | mm12310 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev97¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | −$40 −3.0% | — |
| 164d | Ivolama | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev98¢ → 100¢ | $2,120 | −$41 −1.9% | — |
| 164d | ethlayermaxim | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev99¢ → 100¢ | $11,187 | +$113 +1.0% | 4 |
| 164d |  ACEE1232 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev97¢ → 100¢ | $38,624 | +$1,162 +3.0% | 4 |
| 164d | AppleTime67 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev91¢ → 100¢ | $2,842 | −$281 −9.9% | — |
| 164d | ZEJ | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev96¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$894 +4.5% | 4 |
| 164d | OlimpoDRoger | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellThiago Agustin Tirante10¢ → 0¢ | $1,363 | +$1,363 +100% | — |
| 164d |  Schafbergballs | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev79¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | −$292 −27% | — |
| 164d | nuuki | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | SellDaniil Medvedev81¢ → 100¢ | $4,050 | −$950 −23% | — |
| 164d | 0Ebe | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev82¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$439 +22% | 5 |
| 164d | Balliol | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev80¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$347 +25% | 5 |
| 164d |  TRCM2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante31¢ → 0¢ | $3,745 | −$3,745 −100% | 6 |
| 164d | witk | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev80¢ → 100¢ | $3,240 | +$810 +25% | 5 |
| 164d | Back2GRT | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev80¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$300 +25% | 5 |
| 164d | WynnWaldorf3 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev69¢ → 100¢ | $11,000 | +$5,033 +46% | 6 |
| 164d | phonesculptor | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev76¢ → 100¢ | $8,862 | +$2,799 +32% | 6 |
| 164d |  Lanilo | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev75¢ → 100¢ | $3,500 | +$1,167 +33% | 6 |
| 164d |  leleo17 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev68¢ → 100¢ | $4,760 | +$2,240 +47% | 6 |
| 164d | curie | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev66¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$636 +52% | 6 |
| 164d |  RN1 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev64¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | +$824 +56% | 6 |
| 164d | _test_i075_i078_13 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev58¢ → 100¢ | $6,471 | +$4,654 +72% | 6 |
| 164d | Lawsuitevidencaugust2026 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev60¢ → 100¢ | $1,106 | +$737 +67% | 6 |
| 164d | swisstony6 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante45¢ → 0¢ | $14,813 | −$14,813 −100% | 6 |
| 164d | Katello | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev59¢ → 100¢ | $11,182 | +$7,771 +69% | 6 |
| 164d | Lne89 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev56¢ → 100¢ | $1,450 | +$1,139 +79% | 6 |
| 164d |  ArturitoFilito | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante42¢ → 0¢ | $1,089 | −$1,089 −100% | 6 |
| 164d | madkkee | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev59¢ → 100¢ | $6,666 | +$4,632 +69% | 6 |
| 164d | 0x1ef5…dc052 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante42¢ → 0¢ | $4,900 | −$4,900 −100% | 6 |
| 164d | Lustrous-Painter | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev59¢ → 100¢ | $2,300 | +$1,617 +70% | 6 |
| 164d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante52¢ → 0¢ | $6,179 | −$6,179 −100% | 6 |
| 164d | Confused-Birthday | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev49¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$9,540 +106% | 6 |
| 164d | Nayita | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante55¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 6 |
| 164d | sjqdhqsjgd652 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyDaniil Medvedev42¢ → 100¢ | $18,381 | +$25,255 +137% | 6 |
| 164d | _test_i075_i078_1 | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante55¢ → 0¢ | $1,650 | −$1,650 −100% | 6 |
| 164d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante43¢ → 0¢ | $7,865 | −$7,865 −100% | 6 |
| 164d | DogecoinMillionaire | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante44¢ → 0¢ | $1,006 | −$1,006 −100% | 6 |
| 164d |  tradecraft | Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev | BuyThiago Agustin Tirante43¢ → 0¢ | $2,580 | −$2,580 −100% | 6 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Thiago Agustin Tirante and Daniil Medvedev in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 12, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Daniil Medvedev means the market gives it about 0%.