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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 186d | Bright-Caution | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $3,562 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 186d | jmm20 | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $15,522 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 186d | Menacing-Helium | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $1,735 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 186d | luckyloser91 | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $1,476 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 186d | Sour-Basket | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $2,613 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 186d |  xebir | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $1,108 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 186d |  Schafbergballs | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar99¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | −$14 −1.0% | — |
| 186d | xebir | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar99¢ → 100¢ | $1,097 | +$11 +1.0% | 4 |
| 186d | sovereign2013 | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar85¢ → 100¢ | $992 | +$175 +18% | 5 |
| 186d |  TRCM2 fills | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar64¢ → 100¢ | $2,833 | +$1,570 +55% | 6 |
| 186d |  tradecraft | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar77¢ → 100¢ | $3,417 | +$1,021 +30% | 6 |
| 186d | Sour-Basket | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar76¢ → 100¢ | $986 | +$314 +32% | 6 |
| 186d | Bigr100 | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti27¢ → 0¢ | $1,434 | −$1,434 −100% | 6 |
| 186d | jmm203 fills | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar46¢ → 100¢ | $7,030 | +$8,252 +117% | 6 |
| 186d | Clearmarkets | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti44¢ → 0¢ | $1,096 | −$1,096 −100% | 6 |
| 186d | bigwhale1337 | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti43¢ → 0¢ | $1,405 | −$1,405 −100% | 6 |
| 186d | Menacing-Helium | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar58¢ → 100¢ | $991 | +$723 +73% | 6 |
| 186d | 1512vutd | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellMarco Trungelliti45¢ → 0¢ | $1,125 | +$1,125 +100% | — |
| 186d | Bright-Caution | Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar55¢ → 100¢ | $1,934 | +$1,582 +82% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Madrid Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for April 21, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Madrid Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar means the market gives it about 0%.