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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | 0% | −43 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −63 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +54 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 184d | Afh1994 | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $1,582 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | jmm20 | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $10,916 | −$11 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | Bigboybandi | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $12,291 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | twentydarde- | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $1,006 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | Losingggstreak | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $28,648 | −$29 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | Unlucky-Rail | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $3,928 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | Chicha | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | Leovcidade | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 Winner | SellAguilar>99¢ | $1,407 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | moonwing | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar>99¢ | $4,814 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 184d | Hard-Ironclad | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar97¢ → 100¢ | $3,718 | +$97 +2.6% | 4 |
| 184d | moonwing2 fills | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar99¢ → 100¢ | $2,783 | +$39 +1.4% | 4 |
| 184d | BunCaCham | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellMarco Trungelliti36¢ → 0¢ | $1,799 | +$1,799 +100% | — |
| 184d | paulie9 | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar53¢ → 100¢ | $6,091 | −$5,489 −90% | — |
| 184d | lobbb1 | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellMarco Trungelliti80¢ → 0¢ | $8,320 | +$8,320 +100% | — |
| 184d | BunCaCham | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti99¢ → 0¢ | $4,936 | −$4,936 −100% | 4 |
| 184d | I.AM.E-P | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti91¢ → 0¢ | $1,810 | −$1,810 −100% | 5 |
| 184d | aknetwork | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti87¢ → 0¢ | $1,614 | −$1,614 −100% | 5 |
| 184d | Lne89 | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti85¢ → 0¢ | $3,307 | −$3,307 −100% | 5 |
| 184d | paulie92 fills | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar28¢ → 100¢ | $2,569 | +$6,604 +257% | 6 |
| 184d | 8a7sh2 | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti86¢ → 0¢ | $2,977 | −$2,977 −100% | 5 |
| 184d | RichRa | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellMarco Trungelliti78¢ → 0¢ | $1,673 | +$1,673 +100% | — |
| 184d | JRman555 - 12765 | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti78¢ → 0¢ | $15,233 | −$15,233 −100% | 5 |
| 184d | sc1pt0x | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti64¢ → 0¢ | $978 | −$978 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | Bigboybandi2 fills | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar52¢ → 100¢ | $6,313 | +$5,810 +92% | 6 |
| 184d | ferrariChampions20263 fills | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti47¢ → 0¢ | $8,350 | −$8,350 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | Dishonest-Bloom | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti40¢ → 0¢ | $7,908 | −$7,908 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | Losingggstreak | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar60¢ → 100¢ | $3,943 | +$2,654 +67% | 6 |
| 184d | Ilgato | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | SellDaniel Merida Aguilar55¢ → 100¢ | $3,166 | −$2,590 −82% | — |
| 184d | RichRa | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti53¢ → 0¢ | $2,020 | −$2,020 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | Unlucky-Rail | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar73¢ → 100¢ | $2,847 | +$1,053 +37% | 6 |
| 184d | pelik | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar Set 1 O/U 8.5 | BuyOver>99¢ | $1,068 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 184d | Confused-Birthday | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar65¢ → 100¢ | $9,790 | +$5,273 +54% | 6 |
| 184d | jmm20 | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar48¢ → 100¢ | $5,162 | +$5,592 +108% | 6 |
| 184d | ferrariChampions2026 | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar50¢ → 100¢ | $5,326 | +$5,326 +100% | 6 |
| 184d | Dooose | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar50¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$1,104 +100% | 6 |
| 184d | Loouney9 | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar50¢ → 100¢ | $2,266 | +$2,266 +100% | 6 |
| 184d | lobbb1 | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti52¢ → 0¢ | $5,293 | −$5,293 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | LeftySanchez | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti50¢ → 0¢ | $9,684 | −$9,684 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | Ilgato | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar73¢ → 100¢ | $3,443 | +$1,274 +37% | 6 |
| 184d | BillBenter20262 fills | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyDaniel Merida Aguilar57¢ → 100¢ | $2,728 | +$2,058 +75% | 6 |
| 184d | phredmoz | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti42¢ → 0¢ | $1,456 | −$1,456 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | the.Hound2 fills | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti42¢ → 0¢ | $2,962 | −$2,962 −100% | 6 |
| 184d |  matanovik | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti42¢ → 0¢ | $2,805 | −$2,805 −100% | 6 |
| 184d |  berbisminsk | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti42¢ → 0¢ | $2,129 | −$2,129 −100% | 6 |
| 184d |  itdo | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti41¢ → 0¢ | $986 | −$986 −100% | 6 |
| 184d | Bienville | Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BuyMarco Trungelliti41¢ → 0¢ | $1,543 | −$1,543 −100% | 6 |
berbisminsk7,226 shares
one8tyfive3,618 sharesitdo2,450 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Daniel Merida Aguilar in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 23, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Daniel Merida Aguilar. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Merida Aguilar' if Daniel Merida Aguilar advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Madrid Open: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Merida Aguilar means the market gives it about 0%.