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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol | 100% | +19 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −39 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Game Spread +/-5.5 | 100% | +53 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Set 2 Winner | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +40 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Set 1 Winner | 100% | +24 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −37 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | lmcastro2 fills | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol | SellMarco Trungelliti>99¢ | $2,913 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol | BuyMarco Trungelliti87¢ → 100¢ | $3,160 | +$458 +14% | 5 |
| 9d | HomeRunHazard | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol | BuyMarco Trungelliti85¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | +$193 +18% | 5 |
| 9d | omnibus-076daa | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol | BuyMarco Trungelliti80¢ → 100¢ | $2,071 | +$518 +25% | 5 |
| 9d | 0000. | Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol | BuyMarco Trungelliti78¢ → 100¢ | $9,000 | +$2,539 +28% | 4 |
Mother-Teresa629 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Marco Trungelliti and Milos Karol in the Maia, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marco Trungelliti' if Marco Trungelliti advances against Milos Karol. This market will resolve to 'Milos Karol' if Milos Karol advances against Marco Trungelliti. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Maia: Marco Trungelliti vs Milos Karol means the market gives it about 100%.