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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone | 70% | +6 pts | — | 69¢ · 70¢ (1¢) | $84.6K | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Game Spread +/-2.5 | 28% | −24 pts | — | 1¢ · 54¢ (53¢) | $5.28K | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 1 Winner | >99% | +41 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | $1.71K | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 24% | −16 pts | — | 18¢ · 29¢ (11¢) | $1.02K | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 2 Winner | 24% | −26 pts | — | 21¢ · 27¢ (6¢) | $480 | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 77% | +34 pts | — | 66¢ · 87¢ (21¢) | $399 | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 22.5 | 50% | −4 pts | — | — · 100¢ | $290 | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | −7 pts | — | — · 100¢ | $195 | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Match O/U 23.5 | 71% | +25 pts | — | 66¢ · 76¢ (10¢) | $5.05 | in 8d |
| Completed Match | 55% | +5 pts | — | 10¢ · 100¢ (90¢) | — | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 8.5 | >99% | +57 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 9.5 | <1% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 1 O/U 10.5 | <1% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 8d |
| Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% | +2 pts | — | — · 100¢ | — | in 8d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27m | myxi | Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone | BuyValentin Vacherot85¢ → 70¢ | $3,843 | −$701 −18% | 6 |
| 31m | UpTheBlues5 fills | Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone | BuyValentin Vacherot73¢ → 70¢ | $10,373 | −$439 −4.2% | 13 |
| 1h | cepefernando | Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone | BuyValentin Vacherot64¢ → 70¢ | $1,000 | +$86 +8.6% | 5 |
| 6h | dv-pm | Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone | BuyValentin Vacherot64¢ → 70¢ | $1,196 | +$103 +8.6% | 5 |
MurkSniper2,145 shares
RN13,039 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Valentin Vacherot and Mariano Navone in the Swiss Indoors Basel, originally scheduled for October 27, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Vacherot' if Valentin Vacherot advances against Mariano Navone. This market will resolve to 'Mariano Navone' if Mariano Navone advances against Valentin Vacherot. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 70¢ for Swiss Indoors Basel: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone means the market gives it about 70%.