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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Game Spread +/-0.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25d | yohwowTheMagiccc | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | SellAdolfo Vallejo>99¢ | $2,347 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | HectorHuang2 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | SellAdolfo Vallejo>99¢ | $49,993 | −$50 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | ShoveIsAllYouNeed | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | SellAdolfo Vallejo>99¢ | $1,049 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 25d | 0xc1acc1 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | SellAdolfo Vallejo>99¢ | $14,234 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 25d |  LhordGryffin | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyAdolfo Vallejo>99¢ | $9,200 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 25d | xabidaking | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | SellAdolfo Vallejo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,820 | −$230 −8.2% | — |
| 25d | 0xc1acc1 | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyAdolfo Vallejo95¢ → 100¢ | $13,490 | +$710 +5.3% | 4 |
| 25d |  tradecraft | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyAdolfo Vallejo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,290 | +$82 +6.4% | 4 |
| 25d | Kkunn2 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyTaro Daniel18¢ → 0¢ | $4,819 | −$4,819 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | sc1pt0x | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyAdolfo Vallejo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,493 | +$679 +27% | 5 |
| 25d | Antblack | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | SellAdolfo Vallejo74¢ → 100¢ | $30,002 | −$10,766 −36% | — |
| 25d | omnibus-076daa | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyAdolfo Vallejo61¢ → 100¢ | $4,689 | +$2,989 +64% | 6 |
| 25d | drrd | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyTaro Daniel52¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | yohwowTheMagiccc | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyAdolfo Vallejo50¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | +$1,175 +100% | 6 |
| 25d | Antblack2 fills | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyAdolfo Vallejo47¢ → 100¢ | $19,000 | +$21,768 +115% | 6 |
| 25d | RebornAthena | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyAdolfo Vallejo48¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$1,408 +108% | 6 |
| 25d | HectorHuang | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyAdolfo Vallejo51¢ → 100¢ | $41,552 | +$40,566 +98% | 6 |
| 25d | askilika | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyTaro Daniel55¢ → 0¢ | $4,950 | −$4,950 −100% | 6 |
| 25d | 0xebc4…1c57 | Completed Match | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,808 | +$119 +2.0% | 4 |
| 25d | xabidaking | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyAdolfo Vallejo49¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,549 +103% | 4 |
| 25d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel | BuyTaro Daniel56¢ → 0¢ | $1,800 | −$1,800 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Taro Daniel in the Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Taro Daniel. This market will resolve to 'Taro Daniel' if Taro Daniel advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Japan Open Tennis Championships, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Taro Daniel means the market gives it about 100%.