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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | 100% | +43 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +39 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Set 1 Winner | 100% | +45 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | +64 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | −42 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Set 2 Winner | 100% | +49 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +20 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | −48 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer Game Spread +/-0.5 | 100% | +46 pts | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15d | Madeira99 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | SellAdolfo Vallejo>99¢ | $1,816 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 15d | n1ck10s | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | SellAdolfo Vallejo>99¢ | $1,073 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 15d |  E4sy777 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | SellAdolfo Vallejo>99¢ | $1,687 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 15d |  LhordGryffin | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo>99¢ | $2,118 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 15d | zhaocaimao11 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo>99¢ | $5,026 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 15d | Likely-FeedbackNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | SellAdolfo Vallejo>99¢ | $3,633 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 15d | Momo63 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,063 | +$237 +2.4% | 4 |
| 15d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo86¢ → 100¢ | $9,841 | +$1,589 +16% | 5 |
| 15d | Eulhunter | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,025 | +$114 +11% | 5 |
| 15d | Flaznorp | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$200 +11% | 5 |
| 15d | RoadTo1MillionUsd | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | SellAdolfo Vallejo82¢ → 100¢ | $1,506 | −$331 −22% | — |
| 15d | luminaarx | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo86¢ → 100¢ | $6,806 | +$1,108 +16% | 5 |
| 15d | E4sy777 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo74¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | +$443 +36% | 6 |
| 15d | Likely-FeedbackNew account | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo52¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$1,747 +92% | 21 |
| 15d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyValentin Royer47¢ → 0¢ | $9,973 | −$9,973 −100% | 6 |
| 15d | Justluck9 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo56¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$2,200 +79% | 6 |
| 15d | 0x6c46…ce2b | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo56¢ → 100¢ | $7,994 | +$6,408 +80% | 6 |
| 15d | Complicated-Chassis | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$920 +85% | 6 |
| 16d | federer310 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo53¢ → 100¢ | $2,120 | +$1,880 +89% | 6 |
| 16d | omnibus-076daa | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyValentin Royer47¢ → 0¢ | $3,043 | −$3,043 −100% | 6 |
| 16d | fastball672 fills | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo55¢ → 100¢ | $11,000 | +$9,000 +82% | 6 |
| 16d | SineNooneEI | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyValentin Royer45¢ → 0¢ | $3,405 | −$3,405 −100% | 6 |
| 18d | k56 | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer | BuyAdolfo Vallejo56¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$943 +79% | 4 |
RN16,352 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Adolfo Vallejo and Valentin Royer in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 6, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Adolfo Vallejo' if Adolfo Vallejo advances against Valentin Royer. This market will resolve to 'Valentin Royer' if Valentin Royer advances against Adolfo Vallejo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 20, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adolfo Vallejo vs Valentin Royer means the market gives it about 100%.