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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | 81¢ · 100¢ (19¢) | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · 19¢ | — | ended |
| Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi Game Spread +/-3.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46d | Which-Textual | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | SellJuan Pablo Varillas>99¢ | $1,634 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 46d | xabidaking | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | SellJuan Pablo Varillas>99¢ | $7,061 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 46d | Stavaharon | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | SellJuan Pablo Varillas98¢ → 100¢ | $2,712 | −$51 −1.9% | — |
| 46d | Flaznorp2 fills | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas89¢ → 100¢ | $6,140 | +$774 +13% | 5 |
| 46d | Antblack | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | SellJuan Pablo Varillas84¢ → 100¢ | $15,439 | −$3,048 −20% | — |
| 46d | 0x78be…bde03 fills | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyFederico Arnaboldi31¢ → 0¢ | $29,437 | −$29,437 −100% | 6 |
| 46d | Antblack | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas66¢ → 100¢ | $12,233 | +$6,253 +51% | 6 |
| 46d | willlyouare2 fills | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas63¢ → 100¢ | $4,073 | +$2,367 +58% | 6 |
| 46d | BaltazarGombka | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas63¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$877 +58% | 6 |
| 46d | HomeRunHazard | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyFederico Arnaboldi43¢ → 0¢ | $2,077 | −$2,077 −100% | 6 |
| 46d | Numb-Ramie | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas60¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$1,961 +65% | 6 |
| 46d | xabidaking | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas41¢ → 100¢ | $2,909 | +$4,160 +143% | 6 |
| 46d | PoleBetter | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas33¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$10,152 +203% | 6 |
| 46d | omnibus-076daa | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyFederico Arnaboldi64¢ → 0¢ | $1,751 | −$1,751 −100% | 6 |
| 46d | Stavaharon | Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi | BuyJuan Pablo Varillas38¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | +$1,713 +163% | 6 |
clownly385 shares
Lappland172 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Juan Pablo Varillas and Federico Arnaboldi in the Genoa, originally scheduled for September 8, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Juan Pablo Varillas' if Juan Pablo Varillas advances against Federico Arnaboldi. This market will resolve to 'Federico Arnaboldi' if Federico Arnaboldi advances against Juan Pablo Varillas. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Genoa: Juan Pablo Varillas vs Federico Arnaboldi means the market gives it about 100%.