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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maia: Michael Vrbensky vs Olle Wallin | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | HVAB2 fills | Maia: Michael Vrbensky vs Olle Wallin | BuyMichael Vrbensky70¢ → 100¢ | $6,586 | +$2,831 +43% | 6 |
| 12d | 0000.2 fills | Maia: Michael Vrbensky vs Olle Wallin | BuyOlle Wallin76¢ → 0¢ | $16,000 | −$16,000 −100% | 4 |
ForAndWithYou267 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Michael Vrbensky and Olle Wallin in the Maia, Portugal, Qualifying, originally scheduled for October 11, 2026 at 7:20AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Michael Vrbensky' if Michael Vrbensky advances against Olle Wallin. This market will resolve to 'Olle Wallin' if Olle Wallin advances against Michael Vrbensky. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Maia: Michael Vrbensky vs Olle Wallin means the market gives it about 100%.