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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | Fresh-Desktop | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | SellYosuke Watanuki>99¢ | $1,592 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 9d | Fresh-Desktop | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyYosuke Watanuki92¢ → 100¢ | $1,466 | +$127 +8.7% | 5 |
| 9d | HomeRunHazard2 fills | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyYosuke Watanuki92¢ → 100¢ | $2,866 | +$264 +9.2% | 5 |
| 9d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | SellYosuke Watanuki90¢ → 100¢ | $3,232 | −$359 −11% | — |
| 9d |  TRCM | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyYosuke Watanuki89¢ → 100¢ | $3,560 | +$440 +12% | 5 |
| 9d | Flaznorp | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyYosuke Watanuki90¢ → 100¢ | $4,514 | +$501 +11% | 5 |
| 9d | neutralwave23 | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyYosuke Watanuki87¢ → 100¢ | $1,416 | +$212 +15% | 5 |
| 9d | 0xa0f2…18482 fills | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyYosuke Watanuki79¢ → 100¢ | $2,813 | +$748 +27% | 5 |
| 9d | xabidaking | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic36¢ → 0¢ | $1,206 | −$1,206 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | suntori2 fills | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic41¢ → 0¢ | $8,346 | −$8,346 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | Scornful-Gym-Retreat | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyYosuke Watanuki44¢ → 100¢ | $1,580 | +$2,011 +127% | 6 |
| 9d | Ppk2347 | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic64¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | −$1,260 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | omnibus-076daa2 fills | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyYosuke Watanuki51¢ → 100¢ | $3,084 | +$3,016 +98% | 6 |
| 9d | 0xe7d3…b483 | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic61¢ → 0¢ | $2,526 | −$2,526 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | UpTheBlues | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyMarin Cilic63¢ → 0¢ | $1,429 | −$1,429 −100% | 6 |
| 9d | ferrariChampions20262 fills | Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic | BuyYosuke Watanuki38¢ → 100¢ | $2,418 | +$3,946 +163% | 6 |
88M2,840 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Yosuke Watanuki and Marin Cilic in the Jinan, originally scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 1:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yosuke Watanuki' if Yosuke Watanuki advances against Marin Cilic. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Yosuke Watanuki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Jinan: Yosuke Watanuki vs Marin Cilic means the market gives it about 100%.