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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 1 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 2 Winner | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo Game Spread +/-3.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38d | ferrariChampions2026 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo | BuyLuca Castelnuovo33¢ → 0¢ | $2,548 | −$2,548 −100% | 6 |
| 38d | spoon94 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo | BuyLuca Castelnuovo43¢ → 0¢ | $3,894 | −$3,894 −100% | 6 |
| 38d | HomeRunHazard | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo | BuyElias Ymer56¢ → 100¢ | $2,771 | +$2,177 +79% | 6 |
| 38d | RebornAthena2 fills | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo | BuyElias Ymer47¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$6,692 +112% | 4 |
| 38d | HomeRunHazard | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo | BuyLuca Castelnuovo60¢ → 0¢ | $3,104 | −$3,104 −100% | 4 |
This market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Luca Castelnuovo in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 16, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Luca Castelnuovo. This market will resolve to 'Luca Castelnuovo' if Luca Castelnuovo advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Luca Castelnuovo means the market gives it about 100%.