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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | 100% | +38 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Match O/U 22.5 | 100% | +52 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 1 Winner | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 Winner | 100% | +63 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Match O/U 21.5 | 100% | +50 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Match O/U 23.5 | 100% | +51 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39d | Well-Lit-Cleric | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer>99¢ | $14,429 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | PandFlipa | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer>99¢ | $1,625 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | Kekelobo1 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer>99¢ | $1,732 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 39d |  FindGod7777777 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer>99¢ | $3,667 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | Secondary-Nectar-SnapNew account | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | 0xNuttawut | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer>99¢ | $4,527 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 39d |  alpheclabs | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer>99¢ | $2,307 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | Runemup | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer>99¢ | $19,866 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | phatgentleman | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer>99¢ | $1,010 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 39d | fivethirty3 fills | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuySemen Pankin20¢ → 0¢ | $12,000 | −$12,000 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | tennis-loser | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer92¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$174 +8.7% | 5 |
| 39d |  DoShanna456818 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer86¢ → 100¢ | $2,529 | −$412 −16% | — |
| 39d | Flaznorp | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer91¢ → 100¢ | $1,286 | +$127 +9.9% | 5 |
| 39d |  RN16 fills | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer91¢ → 100¢ | $12,940 | +$1,280 +9.9% | 5 |
| 39d | UpTheBlues2 fills | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer79¢ → 100¢ | $4,072 | +$1,108 +27% | 5 |
| 39d |  88M | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer95¢ → 100¢ | $1,941 | −$102 −5.3% | — |
| 39d | Stavaharon | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer93¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | −$86 −7.5% | — |
| 39d | SchruteBucks | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer82¢ → 100¢ | $1,204 | −$264 −22% | — |
| 39d | SchruteBucks | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer79¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$317 +27% | 5 |
| 39d | 0xD9E0AACa471f48F91A26E8669A805f2 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer73¢ → 100¢ | $1,168 | +$432 +37% | 6 |
| 39d | LFP272 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer70¢ → 100¢ | $1,916 | −$821 −43% | — |
| 39d | RebornAthena | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer54¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$1,736 +87% | 6 |
| 39d | 0xNuttawut | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer43¢ → 100¢ | $1,889 | +$2,504 +133% | 6 |
| 39d | Runemup3 fills | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer47¢ → 100¢ | $9,312 | +$10,529 +113% | 6 |
| 39d | mnogonado | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuySemen Pankin60¢ → 0¢ | $1,525 | −$1,525 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | UpTheBlues | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuySemen Pankin52¢ → 0¢ | $1,329 | −$1,329 −100% | 6 |
| 39d |  TRCM3 fills | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuySemen Pankin48¢ → 0¢ | $4,688 | −$4,688 −100% | 6 |
| 39d |  tradecraft3 fills | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuySemen Pankin50¢ → 0¢ | $5,805 | −$5,805 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | flatbarrel3 fills | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuySemen Pankin52¢ → 0¢ | $6,700 | −$6,700 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | Sn83833 fills | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellSemen Pankin58¢ → 0¢ | $9,444 | +$9,444 +100% | — |
| 39d | Sn83833 fills | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuySemen Pankin51¢ → 0¢ | $8,322 | −$8,322 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | flatbarrel | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer56¢ → 100¢ | $1,394 | −$1,095 −79% | — |
| 39d | thestingsnake | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellSemen Pankin50¢ → 0¢ | $1,507 | +$1,507 +100% | — |
| 39d |  Zelenskys-suit | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuySemen Pankin61¢ → 0¢ | $2,105 | −$2,105 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | FindGod7777777 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer41¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$2,171 +145% | 6 |
| 39d | 0xNuttawut | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuySemen Pankin68¢ → 0¢ | $1,954 | −$1,954 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | SS787878 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer38¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$16,133 +161% | 6 |
| 39d | Well-Lit-Cleric2 fills | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer42¢ → 100¢ | $6,037 | +$8,416 +139% | 6 |
| 39d | fivethirty | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | SellElias Ymer44¢ → 100¢ | $12,022 | −$15,131 −126% | — |
| 39d | fivethirty | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer37¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$17,153 +172% | 6 |
| 39d | Numb-Ramie | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer37¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$1,703 +170% | 6 |
| 39d | omnibus-076daa | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuySemen Pankin67¢ → 0¢ | $1,147 | −$1,147 −100% | 6 |
| 39d | DoShanna456818 | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer68¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$941 +47% | 6 |
| 40d | BaltazarGombka | Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin | BuyElias Ymer70¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$857 +43% | 6 |
Zelenskys-suit3,450 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Elias Ymer and Semen Pankin in the Guangzhou, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Elias Ymer' if Elias Ymer advances against Semen Pankin. This market will resolve to 'Semen Pankin' if Semen Pankin advances against Elias Ymer. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Guangzhou: Elias Ymer vs Semen Pankin means the market gives it about 100%.