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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Completed Match | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 21.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 22.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 Winner | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Match O/U 23.5 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta Game Spread +/-4.5 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26d | phredmoz | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $3,177 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 26d | deepakrego | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta | SellPablo Carreno Busta>99¢ | $1,757 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 26d | UpTheBlues5 fills | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta91¢ → 100¢ | $6,150 | +$632 +10% | 5 |
| 26d | Kkunn | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyYi Zhou18¢ → 0¢ | $9,800 | −$9,800 −100% | 6 |
| 26d |  88M2 fills | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta53¢ → 100¢ | $2,170 | +$1,897 +87% | 6 |
| 26d | phredmoz | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta75¢ → 100¢ | $2,380 | +$793 +33% | 6 |
| 26d |  tradecraft | China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta | BuyPablo Carreno Busta73¢ → 100¢ | $3,498 | +$1,294 +37% | 6 |
| 26d | 0x8c95…00fe | Completed Match | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $5,869 | +$120 +2.0% | 4 |
iwanek23333 sharesThis market refers to the tennis match between Yi Zhou and Pablo Carreno Busta in the China Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 28, 2026 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Yi Zhou' if Yi Zhou advances against Pablo Carreno Busta. This market will resolve to 'Pablo Carreno Busta' if Pablo Carreno Busta advances against Yi Zhou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for China Open, Qualification: Yi Zhou vs Pablo Carreno Busta means the market gives it about 0%.