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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labor | 100% | +42 pts | +44 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Liberal | 0% | −38 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| HEART Party | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Greens | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Family First | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| One Nation | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| FUSION | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Trumpet of Patriots | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 539d | cigarettes | FUSION | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,227 | +$4 +0.3% | 10 |
| 540d | Emvarn | Labor | SellYes66¢ → 100¢ | $21,731 | −$11,194 −52% | — |
| 540d | Emvarn | Labor | BuyYes67¢ → 100¢ | $22,061 | +$10,866 +49% | 15 |
| 545d | Illanox | Labor | SellNo48¢ → 0¢ | $18,538 | +$18,538 +100% | — |
| 545d | Illanox | Labor | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $18,924 | −$18,924 −100% | 13 |
| 555d | Lyrveth | Labor | SellNo44¢ → 0¢ | $15,049 | +$15,049 +100% | — |
| 555d | Myrkos | Labor | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $18,812 | +$15,391 +82% | 10 |
Australian Federal Elections are scheduled to take place on May 3, 2025. The Seat of Bennelong will be up for contest in this election. This market will resolve to the party which the individual who wins the next election for the Seat of Bennelong belongs to. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market group will resolve to "Other". Any interim/caretaker holder of the seat will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Labor means the market gives it about 100%.