Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Aramayo | 100% | +93 pts | +90 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Timothée Chalamet | 0% | −81 pts | −75 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Russell Crowe | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leonardo DiCaprio | 0% | −4 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joel Edgerton | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ethan Hawke | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Michael B. Jordan | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Harry Melling | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cillian Murphy | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jesse Plemons | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Actor A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Actor K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 243d |  norrisfan | Robert Aramayo | SellYes>99¢ | $1,967 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 243d | norrisfan | Robert Aramayo | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,831 | +$20 +0.7% | 20 |
| 246d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Russell Crowe | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,575 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 246d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Harry Melling | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,597 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 246d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Cillian Murphy | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,032 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 246d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Joel Edgerton | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed person that wins the Leading Actor category at the 2026 BAFTA Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed person whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Robert Aramayo means the market gives it about 100%.