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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| My Father's Shadow | 100% | +77 pts | +54 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| The Ceremony | 0% | −16 pts | −17 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Man in My Basement | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mother Vera | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pillion | 0% | −72 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ocean with David Attenborough | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| The Shadow Scholar | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Urchin | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| A Want In Her | 0% | −27 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Wasteman | 0% | −23 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Film A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Film B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Film C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Film D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Film E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Film F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Film G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Film H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Film I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Film J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Film K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 246d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | The Man in My Basement | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,265 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 246d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Ocean with David Attenborough | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,415 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 246d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | The Shadow Scholar | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,475 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 246d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Urchin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,457 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 246d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Mother Vera | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,616 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
The BAFTA Film Awards are presented annually by the British Academy of Film and Television Arts. For the 2026 BAFTA Film Awards, nominations are scheduled for January 27, 2026, and the ceremony for February 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins Outstanding Debut at the 2026 BAFTA Awards. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the listed film whose title comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the BAFTA Awards and the official BAFTA website (https://www.bafta.org/awards/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for My Father's Shadow means the market gives it about 100%.