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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kylian Mbappé | 70% | −4 pts | — | 69¢ · 71¢ (2¢) | $8.71K | in 69d |
| Lamine Yamal | 16% | +3 pts | — | 14¢ · 17¢ (3¢) | $7.01K | in 69d |
| Harry Kane | 13% | +1 pts | — | 12¢ · 14¢ (2¢) | $2.05K | in 69d |
| Lionel Messi | 1% | 0 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.38K | in 69d |
| Khvicha Kvaratskhelia | 1% | −1 pts | — | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | $1.5K | in 69d |
| William Saliba | 1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Dayot Upamecano | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Rodri | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $1.83K | in 69d |
| Ousmane Dembélé | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $2.1K | in 69d |
| Jude Bellingham | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Nuno Mendes | <1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Fabian Ruiz | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $682 | in 69d |
| Michael Olise | <1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $3.22K | in 69d |
| Pau Cubarsi | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Erling Haaland | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Vinícius Júnior | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Declan Rice | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Vitinha | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Achraf Hakimi | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Bruno Fernandes | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Luis Diaz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Lautaro Martinez | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Marc Cucurella | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Gabriel Magalhães | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Sadio Mané | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Marquinhos | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| João Neves | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Willian Pacho | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Julián Quiñones | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| Ferran Torres | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 69d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d | OuldLm3alem | Kylian Mbappé | BuyYes75¢ → 70¢ | $1,004 | −$69 −6.8% | 12 |
| 1d | melchior1248 | Lamine Yamal | BuyNo87¢ → 85¢ | $1,231 | −$31 −2.5% | 10 |
| 2d | Aggravating-Lettuce-LocalNew account | Kylian Mbappé | BuyYes66¢ → 70¢ | $1,206 | +$76 +6.3% | 27 |
| 4d | niceqqqqq3 | Lamine Yamal | BuyNo85¢ | $1,020 | −$6 −0.6% | 10 |
Outsid3rTrading2,018 shares
Cypya2,004 shares
TimeTraveler2,996 shares
aliiz1,975 shares
HolyKnight1,000 sharesThis market will resolve according to the player who finishes in 2nd place in the men's 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking. The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to take place in London on October 26, 2026. If two or more players are tied for 2nd place in the award ranking, resolution will follow France Football's (the award organizer, in partnership with UEFA) official ranking. Any players tied at the same placement with no further official distinction will be resolved alphabetically by name. If no 2026 Ballon d'Or ranking is published by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from France Football and/or UEFA, including the official Ballon d'Or announcement; a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 70¢ for Kylian Mbappé means the market gives it about 70%.