Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No Change | 100% | +40 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hike | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cut | 0% | −5 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317d |  noreasapa | Cut | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,300 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 317d | cigarettes | Hike | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,359 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 317d | cigarettes | Cut | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,359 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 317d | noreasapa | No Change | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,359 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 317d | regale | No Change | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,147 | +$3 +0.1% | 10 |
| 329d | influenz.eth | Hike | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,366 | +$1 +0.1% | 10 |
| 329d | influenz.eth | Cut | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,217 | +$51 +4.2% | 10 |
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the Selic rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Central Bank of Brazil's December 2025 meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its December 2025 policy meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for No Change means the market gives it about 100%.